On Friday 28 August 2026, New York Liberty play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
New York Liberty have been strong, but the Golden State Valkyries have won 7 of their last 10 games, showing solid form. The Valkyries allow opponents to take a lot of three-point shots, which could help them if they hit a few. They also give up a decent number of rebounds, but so does New York. The odds are decent for the Valkyries to keep this game close, and the numbers suggest they have a good chance to cover the spread. The main risk is that New York has the home advantage and could pull ahead. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 162.5 Total Points (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
The New York Liberty are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games, and they're playing at home in Barclays Center. They've shown they can score, and their opponents are getting a lot of chances to shoot three-pointers. The Golden State Valkyries are also doing well, with the same number of wins lately, which makes this matchup exciting. Both teams have been letting opponents shoot plenty of three-pointers, so we could see a lot of scoring. However, the Valkyries do allow slightly more rebounds than the Liberty, which could give New York more chances to score second-chance points. Our numbers suggest a combined total score of about 166 points, so betting on over 162.5 seems like a smart move. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries to Win (+130)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
The New York Liberty have a solid home advantage, but the Golden State Valkyries are on a good run, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries have been letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, which could be a problem against the Liberty's scoring ability. However, Golden State has shown they can fight back, especially with their recent form giving them a fighting chance in this matchup. Betting on the Valkyries to win feels like a smart choice right now. They are pretty close to the Liberty in overall performance, and the odds are favorable at +102. The biggest risk is that Golden State has been giving up a few more rebounds than usual, which could give New York extra chances to score. Still, I think the Valkyries have what it takes to pull off the win here. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sabrina Ionescu Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Sabrina Ionescu needs to grab at least 10 rebounds and assists combined tonight for this bet to win. She has been a key player for New York Liberty, helping them win 7 of their last 10 games. Ionescu can be up and down with her stats, but she's shown she can reach this mark when things click. The Golden State Valkyries allow a decent number of rebounds and assists, so there's a good chance she finds openings. The risk is that her stats can vary quite a bit, and if she has an off night, this bet may not hit. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Breanna Stewart Under 28.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart has been a key player for the New York Liberty, but she faces a tough matchup against the Golden State Valkyries. Both teams have been on a roll lately, each winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, Stewart's scoring and rebounding numbers might take a hit, especially considering that the Valkyries allow fewer rebounds and have been strong defensively. New York tends to give up a decent number of rebounds, but the Valkyries are even tougher in that area, allowing fewer boards overall. With Stewart's recent performances and the stiff competition, betting on her to score fewer than 28.5 combined points and rebounds feels like a smart move here. Just keep in mind that Stewart could surprise us, as she has the talent to shine anytime. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Cecilia Zandalasini has had some ups and downs recently, but she's shown the ability to contribute in both rebounds and assists. In a matchup between the New York Liberty and Golden State Valkyries, Zandalasini could find opportunities to shine. The Liberty tend to allow a decent amount of rebounds, averaging 34.4 given up per game, which could help her get more chances on the boards. Though the Valkyries also have their strengths, Zandalasini has the potential to hit this mark. Just remember, she hasn't been super consistent lately, and that's the biggest risk here. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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