Los Angeles Sparks vs Washington Mystics Prediction & Picks (Rae Burrell Key Factor): Winning Game Angles

The Washington Mystics have been on a roll, winning 7 out of their last 10 games, while the Los Angeles Sparks have only taken 3 of their last 10. The Sparks also give up a lot of rebounds, averaging 35.2 per game, which might hurt their chances against a strong Mystics team. However, the Sparks are at home and the game is expected to be very close, almost like a coin flip. Betting on the Sparks to cover a spread of 6 points could pay off, but keep in mind that both teams are pretty evenly matched, and the Mystics are hitting their stride. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rae Burrell Over 2.5 Assists (+110)

Rae Burrell has a solid chance to rack up over 2.5 assists in this game against the Washington Mystics. The Sparks have struggled recently, winning only 3 out of their last 10 games, but Burrell's ability to find open teammates could shine through. The Mystics allow opponents to take quite a few three-point shots, which might help Burrell set up her teammates for easy looks. One thing to keep in mind is that both teams have been allowing a decent number of rebounds, so there could be opportunities for second-chance points. The Sparks give up 35.2 rebounds a game, which is slightly higher than the Mystics' number. If Burrell can get into a rhythm early, she might just exceed that assists total. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dearica Hamby Under 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-109)

Dearica Hamby has been a solid player, but the matchup against the Washington Mystics might be tricky for her. The Mystics have been winning most of their recent games and do a good job keeping rebounds down. They give up fewer rebounds than the Sparks, which could limit Hamby's chances to score and grab boards. With Hamby likely facing tough defense, betting on her points and rebounds to stay under 19.5 seems smart. The Sparks also struggle with allowing opponents to shoot a lot of threes, which could mean less focus on getting those rebounds. Since it's a close matchup, the risk is that Hamby could surprise us, but everything points to a lower total here. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nneka Ogwumike Under 15.5 Points (-115)

Nneka Ogwumike has been struggling lately, and the Sparks have only won 3 of their last 10 games. This makes it tough for her to find her rhythm, especially against a Mystics team that has been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10. With both teams allowing a decent number of three-point attempts and the Mystics being solid on defense, it might be hard for Nneka to rack up points. The bet here is for Nneka to score under 15.5 points. The numbers suggest it's a close call, but given her recent form and the overall matchup, this could be a smart choice. The biggest risk is how closely matched both teams are, which means Nneka might not get the chances she needs to go over that number. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Los Angeles Sparks v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.