On Saturday 29 August 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Toronto Tempo in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 179.5 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 179.5 Total Points (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Tonight, we need the combined score of the Las Vegas Aces and Toronto Tempo to stay under 179.5 points. The Tempo have struggled lately, winning only 1 of their last 10 games and often falling behind by over 10 points. This suggests they might have trouble keeping up with the Aces, who can score but also defend well. The Tempo force turnovers at a slightly lower rate than the league average, which means they might struggle to create extra scoring chances. Our numbers predict a combined total of about 170.1, which is well below our line. The biggest risk is how close these teams can be on a good night, but with the Tempo's recent form, it seems likely they'll keep the score down. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Toronto Tempo +26.5 on the Line (-417)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
You can get Toronto Tempo at +26.5 points, which seems like a solid option given how our numbers rate this matchup. The Tempo have struggled lately, winning only 1 of their last 10 games and often falling behind by over 10 points in their recent outings. However, they do force turnovers at a decent rate, which could help keep them competitive. The biggest risk is that the Aces are strong at home and might push the score further apart. While this bet is not a sure win, those extra points could give Toronto a fighting chance. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Betting on Isabelle Harrison to score under 14.5 points feels like a good choice at these odds. She's had some ups and downs in her scoring lately, with her last ten games showing numbers that bounce around quite a bit. Sometimes she scores as low as nothing, and other times she hits double digits. With Toronto Tempo struggling overall, losing nine of their last ten games, it's hard to see Harrison stepping up consistently against the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces are tough, and they defend well, so Harrison might find it hard to get her usual chances. Plus, Toronto is known for not forcing turnovers as well as other teams, which makes it even tougher for their players to get easy points on the board. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Under 38.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
For this bet to hit, A'ja Wilson needs to score, grab rebounds, and dish out assists that total less than 38.5 tonight. The Toronto Tempo have been struggling lately, losing nine out of their last ten games and typically falling behind by over ten points in recent matchups. This could limit their overall scoring and opportunities for Wilson to pile up her stats. While A'ja is a talented player, the Tempo's defense has forced a decent number of turnovers this season, and her supporting cast might not provide the help she needs. The risk here is that the game could get competitive, giving her more chances to rack up points. However, with the way both teams are playing, a lower total seems likely. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chelsea Gray Under 17.5 Points and Assists (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Chelsea Gray faces a tough challenge against the Toronto Tempo. The Tempo force turnovers at a pretty high rate, making it hard for opponents to score. Plus, they have been limiting scoring opportunities, which could really impact Gray's chances to rack up both points and assists. With the Tempo struggling to win lately, they've been coming up short by over ten points in recent games. This matchup feels close, but the way Toronto plays defense makes it more likely that Gray won't hit the 17.5 mark. There's a solid chance this bet could lose, but it seems to fit the game well. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Toronto Tempo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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