On Friday 28 August 2026, New York Liberty play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Liberty have been tough at home, but Golden State Valkyries are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They tend to give up a lot of three-point shots, allowing teams to shoot more than most others in the league. This could let the Liberty find easy scoring opportunities if they get hot from deep. The Valkyries are only a tiny underdog with a good chance to cover the spread of 1.5 points. They also have a bit of an advantage in rest and travel, which might help their performance. However, it's worth noting that New York has home-court advantage, making this a close matchup. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 162 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Both the New York Liberty and Golden State Valkyries have shown they can score a lot lately, with Golden State winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries do allow opponents to shoot plenty of three-pointers, which can really boost the points. Also, they give up a decent number of rebounds, meaning there could be more scoring chances. It's a close matchup, but I think the total points will go over 162. Just know that both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, which could mean a tighter game than expected. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries to Win (+102)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The New York Liberty have a solid home advantage, but the Golden State Valkyries are on a good run, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries have been letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, which could be a problem against the Liberty's scoring ability. However, Golden State has shown they can fight back, especially with their recent form giving them a fighting chance in this matchup. Betting on the Valkyries to win feels like a smart choice right now. They are pretty close to the Liberty in overall performance, and the odds are favorable at +102. The biggest risk is that Golden State has been giving up a few more rebounds than usual, which could give New York extra chances to score. Still, I think the Valkyries have what it takes to pull off the win here. It was priced at +102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Sabrina Ionescu needs to score over 17.5 points tonight for this bet to win. She's been on fire lately, helping her team with strong performances. The Golden State Valkyries have allowed a lot of three-point attempts this season, which could lead to more scoring chances for her. On top of that, the Valkyries give up a decent number of rebounds, so if Ionescu gets a few second-chance opportunities, she could hit that mark. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, making it tough to predict how the game will unfold. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Leonie Fiebich needs to score 10 points or fewer tonight for this bet to win. The Golden State Valkyries have been solid lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, they allow opponents to take quite a few three-point shots, which might spread the scoring around instead of focusing on one player like Fiebich. Fiebich hasn't been scoring much lately, especially with her typical numbers showing she usually makes only about 3 field goals a game. The risk here is that she could have a breakout game, but with the way the Valkyries defend and share the ball, it seems more likely she will stay under 10 points. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart has been a key player for the New York Liberty, but the Golden State Valkyries are tough on defense. They have won 7 of their last 10 games, showing they can really clamp down on scoring. The Valkyries let opponents shoot a lot of threes, but they also allow fewer rebounds than most teams, which means they limit second-chance points. Betting on Stewart to score under 21.5 points seems smart right now. While she can light up the scoreboard, the Valkyries have been doing a solid job of keeping opposing players in check. The biggest risk here is that Stewart can still have a big night when she gets hot, but the numbers suggest this could be a low-scoring game for her. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article