On Friday 28 August 2026, Phoenix Mercury play Washington Mystics in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 167.5 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 167.5 Total Points (-108)

Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing

The odds for the total points in the Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics game are set at 167.5, which feels like a great chance for a higher score. Both teams have been scoring well lately, with the Mercury managing to win 4 of their last 10 games and the Mystics winning 7 of their last 10. This suggests they can find the basket when needed. Looking at how they play, the Mercury often allow opponents to take a lot of three-point shots and give up plenty of rebounds. With both teams combining for a projected total near 170.9, there's a real shot for this game to go over. Just remember, Phoenix's recent struggles mean they could put up fewer points than expected. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shakira Austin Over 30.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

Shakira Austin has been on fire lately, racking up points, rebounds, and assists all around the 30 mark in recent games. She's shown she can really step up, hitting as high as 42 in her last 10 games. The Phoenix Mercury often let opponents grab a lot of rebounds, which could help her stats. Plus, the Mystics have been winning a lot lately, so this could be a close game where she gets plenty of chances to shine. Just keep in mind, if she has an off night, it could be tough to hit that 30.5 mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Alyssa Thomas Over 22.5 Points and Rebounds (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Alyssa Thomas has been a key player for the Washington Mystics, and she's been on a roll lately. In her last 10 games, her rebounds have ranged widely, showing she can grab a lot when needed. The Phoenix Mercury have been giving up a fair number of rebounds, allowing around 36 per game, which could help her rack up those numbers. The game is a close matchup, so there's a real chance for Thomas to shine. Just keep in mind, the game could swing either way in terms of scoring. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kahleah Copper Under 22.5 Points and Rebounds (-106)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Kahleah Copper has been a bit up and down lately, with her rebounds swinging wildly from none to a few. With the Phoenix Mercury allowing a lot of rebounds and points lately, we think she might struggle to hit the mark today. The Mystics have won 7 of their last 10 games, so they could keep the pressure on. The bet is for her combined points and rebounds to stay under 22.5. The most concrete risk here is that she can still have a big game, but with her recent inconsistency and the Mercury's defensive setup, it seems like a solid pick. Let's see if she can keep it low! It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Phoenix Mercury v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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