On Thursday 27 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 153 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 153 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. On the other hand, the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10. The Valkyries allow a lot of three-point attempts, while the Sun have been decent at rebounding, giving them a chance to score more points. Our numbers suggest a good chance for this game to have over 153 total points. Just keep in mind that both teams are close in overall performance lately, which could make it a tighter game than expected. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connecticut Sun +19.5 on the Line (-233)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun need to win by at least 19.5 points tonight. They've had a tough time lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. However, they are strong at home and are facing a Golden State Valkyries team that has some weaknesses, like allowing a lot of three-point attempts. The Sun's solid rebounding could help them control the game. The biggest risk is that the Sun have struggled and the Valkyries have been better lately, winning 6 of their last 10. Still, with home advantage, the Sun have a good chance to cover this spread. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Betting on Diamond Miller to grab under 2.5 rebounds is looking interesting at +110 odds. The Connecticut Sun have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. They allow opponents to grab 32.2 rebounds a game, which is a bit better than the league average. However, the Sun's rebounding defense isn't as strong, and with the Valkyries winning 7 of their last 10, they could put a lot of pressure on the boards. Miller's recent performance shows she hasn't been a big factor in rebounding, with no offensive rebounds in her last games. The matchup is tight, and this could go either way. The risk is that both teams are close in how they handle rebounds, so it might be a nail-biter. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Gabby Williams has been a bit up and down lately, scoring anywhere from 0 to 3 points in her last ten games. Still, the Connecticut Sun have been struggling, winning just 2 of their last 10 outings, which could give Gabby more chances to score as the team looks for answers. The Golden State Valkyries allow a fair number of threes, so if Gabby finds her rhythm, she could easily hit over 12.5 points. The risk is that her scoring has been inconsistent, but the matchup could work in her favor. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Tiffany Hayes has been on a bit of a scoring rollercoaster lately, with her points in the last 10 games ranging from 2 to 12. Playing at home for the Connecticut Sun could help her find some rhythm against the Golden State Valkyries, who have allowed a lot of open shots. The Valkyries let opponents take quite a few three-pointers, which might give Hayes some good chances to score. The main risk here is that Hayes has had some low-scoring nights, so it's not a guarantee she'll hit over 11.5 points. But with the right opportunities, she could surprise us. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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