On Thursday 24 September 2026, New York Liberty play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Atlanta Dream to Win, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Atlanta Dream to Win (+110)

Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing

The Atlanta Dream come into this game on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 matches and 5 of their last 6. They've faced some tough teams, with a schedule that ranks in the middle among all clubs, but they've handled it well. Meanwhile, the New York Liberty have also been solid, winning 7 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6, making this a close matchup. Both teams are performing well, but the Liberty have faced a slightly tougher schedule. The Dream have a little more rest and less travel, which might give them a slight advantage. The most concrete risk is that both teams are in great form, so it could easily go either way. Still, the numbers suggest the Dream have a good chance to come out on top here. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Atlanta Dream +2.5 on the Line (-108)

Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing

The Atlanta Dream are coming off a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've been scoring a lot, averaging nearly 96 points in their last 20 matchups. Even though the New York Liberty have had some good wins, they faced tough teams recently, which makes this matchup even more interesting. This game is pretty close, so the point spread of +2.5 for Atlanta feels like a solid pick. The Liberty might be at home, but both teams are in good form. The biggest risk here is how well both teams are scoring; if one goes cold, it could change everything. Overall, this should be a competitive game, and Atlanta has a good shot to keep it close. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 182.5 Total Points (-200)

Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing

Both the New York Liberty and the Atlanta Dream have been strong recently, with the Liberty winning 4 of their last 6 and the Dream winning 5 of their last 6. However, the Liberty have faced tougher opponents overall, which could mean they struggle to score against solid defenses. Our numbers suggest the total points will be much lower than what's expected, around 163.2. The biggest risk here is that both teams are in good form, so they might surprise us with a shooting burst. Still, betting on under 182.5 points looks like a smart choice. It was priced at -200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhyne Howard Over 23.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

Rhyne Howard is a key player for the Atlanta Dream, and she's been on fire lately, averaging over 25 points and assists combined in night games. With both teams playing well, it's likely Howard will need to step up against the New York Liberty, who have faced a tough schedule. The Liberty have won 7 of their last 10 games, so they'll be a challenge. The biggest risk is that Howard's numbers dip during day games, which might affect her output. Still, I like the bet for her to go over 23.5 points, rebounds, and assists. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Allisha Gray Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+112)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Allisha Gray has been scoring well lately, especially during the day when she averages over 23 points. She also tends to assist a lot more when the sun is up, showing her ability to get open for three-pointers. With the New York Liberty facing the Atlanta Dream at Barclays Center, Gray has a good chance to hit over 1.5 three-pointers, especially since the Liberty have been playing tough teams this season. The main risk here is that both teams are on a hot streak, winning most of their recent games. Still, Gray's daytime performance looks promising, and the odds of +110 are worth considering. If she finds her rhythm, she could easily knock down those shots and help you cheer for a win! It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 16.5 Points and Assists (-112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Liberty is facing off against Atlanta Dream, and both teams have been on a winning streak lately. However, Jonquel Jones has been showing a bit of a drop in her performance when playing at night. While she usually scores around 13.6 points and gets about 2.9 assists in those games, she often struggles to reach those numbers against tough defenses. For this game, I think Jonquel will stay under 16.5 combined points and assists. The Liberty have faced a tougher schedule, which might make it even harder for her to shine. It's a close matchup, but the odds are leaning towards her not hitting that mark tonight. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article