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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia 76ers
VS
Dallas Mavericks

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Dallas Mavericks (Moneyline)
For Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks (NBA), model win probability 67.6%, fair odds 1.48, book price +114, model edge +20.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Dallas Mavericks
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas MavericksMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas MavericksPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Johni Broome FDay-to-day
  • Labaron Philon Jr. GDay-to-day

Dallas Mavericks

  • Morez Johnson Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Santi Aldama FDay-to-day
  • Dereck Lively II CDay-to-day
  • Naji Marshall FDay-to-day
  • Cooper Flagg FDay-to-day
  • P.J. Washington FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Martin FDay-to-day
  • Kyrie Irving GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 9:00PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsPhiladelphia 76ers @ Dallas MavericksNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks and Philadelphia 76ers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadDallas Mavericks spreadNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks (season record) meet Philadelphia 76ers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineDallas Mavericks to winNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks (season record) host or visit Philadelphia 76ers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Dallas Mavericks totalNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Philadelphia 76ers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Philadelphia 76ers totalNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Dallas Mavericks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Dallas Mavericks — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers : Over 205.5 Total Points (-3333)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Over 205.5' total points in the Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers game is well-founded, given the recent scoring averages of both teams. The Mavericks and 76ers have recorded an average of 120.8 and 115.6 points respectively in their last five games, significantly higher than the 205.5 point threshold. Also, the scoring trends when playing away and at home for these teams (118 and 117.2 respectively) corroborate this trend. Furthermore, the points conceded by each team in their last five games (126.6 for Dallas, 116.6 for Philadelphia) suggest a high-scoring game due to potentially weaker defenses. All these statistics point towards a likely combined score surpassing 205.5, making 'Over 205.5' a plausible bet.

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers : Philadelphia 76ers Over 105.5 Team Total Points (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Philadelphia 76ers Over 105.5' is a strong choice due to their recent scoring performance. In their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 115.6 points overall and 118 points when playing away, both significantly above the 105.5 points target. Although their Away Record is slightly negative at 2-3, this seems to be more due to their defense (opponent team score of 118.8) rather than their offensive capability. The model prediction also supports this bet, with an estimated total of 119.32 points for the 76ers, which is well above the over/under line. Therefore, the data suggests that the 76ers have a high probability of scoring more than 105.5 points in the upcoming game against the Mavericks.

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers : Dallas Mavericks 2.5 (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Despite the Dallas Mavericks' recent home performance (1-4), the bet on their point spread of 2.5 seems promising. In the last five games, the Mavericks have outscored the 76ers, averaging 120.8 points to the 76ers' 115.6. Additionally, the Mavericks' model prediction is more than double their point spread, suggesting a larger victory margin. The teams' recent head-to-head records are evenly split (1-1), indicating a competitive matchup. However, the Mavericks' higher scoring average could tilt the balance in their favor. Furthermore, the 76ers have allowed more points in their recent away games (118.8) than the Mavericks have in their home games (123.2), potentially giving the Mavericks an offensive edge. Hence, the statistics indicate a favorable situation for a Mavericks cover on the point spread.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

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DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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