SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) WIN: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +136) WIN: WON: West Coast Eagles @ Western Bulldogs (West Coast Eagles 36.5 @ -112) WIN: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +139) WIN: WON: West Coast Eagles @ Western Bulldogs (West Coast Eagles 36.5 @ -110) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) RESULT: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +136) RESULT: WON: West Coast Eagles @ Western Bulldogs (West Coast Eagles 36.5 @ -112) RESULT: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +139) RESULT: WON: West Coast Eagles @ Western Bulldogs (West Coast Eagles 36.5 @ -110) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291)
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Model picks & player props
Kansas City Royals
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 12, 10:16AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Thu 25 Jun 2026, 4:10PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
100.0%
Historical Hit Rate
Answer
Model lean: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (Spread)
For Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays (MLB), model win probability 44.2%, fair odds 2.26, book price +164, model edge +6.4%, this matchup's picks have hit 100.0% across 4 settled results, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Thu 25 Jun 2026, 4:10PM at Tropicana Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Tampa Bay Rays
-3
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Kansas City Royals

  • Kyle Isbel CFOut
  • Maikel Garcia 3BOut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Cole Ragans SPOut
  • Carlos Estevez RPOut
  • Connor Seabold RPOut
  • Nick Mears RPOut
  • Jonathan India 2BOut
  • James McArthur RPOut
  • Alec Marsh SPOut

Probable pitcher

Noah Cameron SP

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Steven Wilson RPOut
  • Jesse Scholtens RPOut
  • Steven Matz SPOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Manuel Rodriguez RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Griffin Jax SP
Availability updated Jul 11, 11:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 4 of last 4 settled picks for this matchup.
4
Total Picks
100.0%
Hit Rate
DateMarketPickResult
25 Jun 26 Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays ✓ HIT
25 Jun 26 Spread Tampa Bay Rays -3 ✓ HIT
25 Jun 26 Spread Tampa Bay Rays -2 ✓ HIT
25 Jun 26 Spread Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Thursday 25 June 2026 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Historically across 4 settled picks between these two teams, the model has recorded a hit rate of 100.0%. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.