On Friday 18 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +7 on the Line, priced at -105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
New York Liberty +7 on the Line (-105)
Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing
The Minnesota Lynx have been playing well, but the New York Liberty can really challenge them with their scoring. Our numbers see this matchup as almost even, suggesting the Liberty can keep it close, especially with the Lynx only projected to win by just over four points. One thing to watch is that the Liberty have to travel a bit, which can sometimes affect how well they play. Still, getting seven points makes this bet appealing. The Liberty have the talent to stay competitive, and they could surprise everyone with a strong showing. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 182 Total Points (-196)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Minnesota Lynx have been struggling lately, and the New York Liberty isn't the highest-scoring team either. With both teams not hitting their scoring stride, betting on under 182 total points feels like a solid choice. Our numbers suggest a combined score around 163, which is quite a bit lower. The Lynx are also at home, but they have some recent travel weariness, giving the Liberty a chance to keep things low-scoring too. It was priced at -196 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Leonie Fiebich has been showing some solid form lately, especially when it comes to grabbing rebounds. In her last few games, she's been averaging around two offensive rebounds, which is a bit higher than usual. With the Minnesota Lynx taking on the New York Liberty at home, I think she has a good shot at securing over 3.5 rebounds in this matchup. The Lynx will need her presence on the boards, especially since they've been a bit inconsistent on defense. The close nature of this game means both teams will be fighting hard, and that can lead to more missed shots and opportunities for rebounds. Just keep in mind that Fiebich has had a few games where she hasn't hit her usual numbers. Overall, though, this looks like a promising pick for her. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Betting on Natasha Howard to get over 6.5 rebounds offers a solid chance based on her recent play. Our numbers suggest she's been grabbing around 5.2 defensive rebounds lately, which shows she's been active in that area. Plus, the Lynx will be playing at home, and they usually have a good crowd that can help boost energy. Just remember, the biggest risk is that her recent numbers could drop if the game pace changes unexpectedly. But overall, it looks promising for Howard to hit that rebound mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Breanna Stewart Under 27.5 Points and Rebounds (-111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart needs to score fewer points and grab fewer rebounds than 27.5 tonight against the Minnesota Lynx. She has been playing well, but her recent numbers show she's not hitting those marks consistently. In her last five games, she's making just a bit under her usual field goals, and her offensive rebounds are also lower than what we typically see from her. The Lynx will put up a strong defense, making it tough for Stewart to find her rhythm. Plus, with both teams having a close matchup, there's a chance that they will focus more on defense. The biggest risk is that Stewart could still break out and have a big game, but right now, it looks like she might stay under that total. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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