On Friday 18 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +6 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
New York Liberty +6 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The New York Liberty are facing off against the Minnesota Lynx, and this game looks really close. The Liberty have been playing well, and while the Lynx have a slight advantage in their recent games, it's not a big gap. Our numbers suggest this matchup is nearly even, and with the Liberty getting 6 points, it feels like a good chance for them to keep it close or even win. The main risk is that the Lynx are at home, where they usually play better. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 187.5 Total Points (-263)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Both the Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty have been playing solid defense lately, which makes me think they might struggle to score big in this game. We're betting on the total points being under 187.5 because our numbers suggest a combined total around 162.9. Plus, the Liberty have a bit of travel fatigue, which can affect their performance. The close win percentages hint that this could be a tight game, but with both teams focusing on defense, I really like the under on points here. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jonquel Jones Under 25.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jonquel Jones has been struggling lately, with her recent numbers not quite hitting the mark. She typically contributes around 27 points, rebounds, and assists combined, but her recent averages are lower than usual. With the Minnesota Lynx playing at home, they could put extra pressure on Jones, making it tough for her to rack up those stats. This bet on her scoring less than 25.5 points, rebounds, and assists makes sense given how close her recent performance has been to the typical range. The risk here is that both teams are evenly matched, and Jones could surprise us. Still, she hasn't been showing her usual form, which makes this bet worth considering. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kayla McBride Over 19.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Kayla McBride has been on a roll lately, showing strong scoring and passing skills in her recent games. She's been averaging more free throws made than usual, which suggests she's getting to the basket more often. With the Minnesota Lynx playing at home in the Target Center, they'll be looking to put on a show for their fans against the New York Liberty. While McBride is in good form, the game could be close, so she'll need to not only score but also rack up assists. The Liberty can be tough on defense, which adds some risk to this pick. Still, considering her recent performance, betting on her to score over 19.5 points and assists looks promising. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Breanna Stewart Under 22.5 Points and Assists (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart needs to score points and give assists, but we're betting she will keep it under 22.5 tonight against the Minnesota Lynx. Lately, she has been making fewer field goals than usual, averaging about six instead of a typical six and a half. Plus, her team tends to struggle with turnovers, which could limit her chances to rack up assists. The Lynx play solid defense, which can make it tough for Stewart to shine. Though she's had some success against them, the numbers suggest she might not hit her usual mark tonight. Keep an eye on the game, as it could go either way. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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