Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks (Dominique Malonga Key Factor): Stat-Based Insights

At Climate Pledge Arena, the Seattle Storm are taking on the Las Vegas Aces. Our numbers suggest a low-scoring game, predicting a combined total of around 156.9 points, which is well below the line of 182.5 points. The Storm have struggled lately, showing a significant negative scoring difference, while the Aces are also not known for high-scoring games. With both teams not in great scoring form and the Aces traveling quite a distance, this could be a tight match with fewer points than expected. Just remember, both teams could surprise us. It was priced at -278 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dominique Malonga Over 9.5 Rebounds (+110)

Dominique Malonga has been doing a solid job on the boards, grabbing around 10 rebounds in recent games, which is pretty good. The Seattle Storm will need her to step up against the Las Vegas Aces, who are strong but haven't been too dominant lately. With the odds being close to even, this bet feels like a fair shot. The biggest risk is that both teams are closely matched, so it could go either way. Still, Malonga's recent performance suggests she can hit that mark, making this an interesting pick. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackie Young Under 4.5 Rebounds (+108)

Jackie Young and the Las Vegas Aces are facing off against the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena. The Aces have been struggling a bit with their rebounding lately, averaging only about three defensive rebounds over their last few games, which is lower than what you'd usually expect. This trend makes it reasonable to think Jackie might grab fewer than five rebounds in this matchup. While Jackie is a talented player, she's also dealing with some competition for boards from her teammates. If she continues to average around three to four rebounds, hitting the under on 4.5 seems quite possible. Just remember, if the Aces turn up their intensity or if Jackie has an unexpected breakout game, it could go the other way. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Under 25.5 Points (-106)

A'ja Wilson has been a key player for the Las Vegas Aces, but this matchup against the Seattle Storm could be tricky for her. The Storm have a strong defense that can limit scoring, and Wilson's recent performance shows she's been scoring a bit lower than usual. With only 7.4 rebounds in her last five games, she might find it tough to get those extra chances to put points on the board. While the numbers suggest she has a good chance to go under 25.5 points, the biggest risk is how close the two teams are in their recent games. If the Aces decide to play a different style or if Seattle steps up their game, it could affect Wilson's scoring. Keep this in mind as you consider this bet. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Seattle Storm v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.