On Friday 31 July 2026, Melbourne Storm play Canterbury Bulldogs in the NRL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Melbourne Storm +22.5 on the Line, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
On Friday 31 July 2026, Melbourne Storm host Canterbury Bulldogs in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Melbourne Storm 22.5 Line. On this line Melbourne Storm start with 22.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. That price was showing at Ladbrokes. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 42.5 Total Points (-105)
Odds available at TAB at time of publishing
On Friday 31 July 2026, Melbourne Storm host Canterbury Bulldogs in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Over 42.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 42.5 points between them. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Melbourne Storm to Win the First Half (+140)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
On Friday 31 July 2026, Melbourne Storm host Canterbury Bulldogs in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Melbourne Storm First Half Match Winner. This one only needs Melbourne Storm to be in front at half time. It was priced at +140 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +140 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Trent Loiero to Score a Try (+1400)
Odds available at BetRight at time of publishing
On Friday 31 July 2026, Melbourne Storm host Canterbury Bulldogs in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Trent Loiero Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Trent Loiero scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $150 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRight. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $150 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Stefano Utoikamanu Over 1.5 Tries (+15000)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Friday 31 July 2026, Melbourne Storm host Canterbury Bulldogs in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Stefano Utoikamanu Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Stefano Utoikamanu scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +15000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1510 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +15000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1510 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jahrome Hughes Over 2.5 Tries (+25000)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Friday 31 July 2026, Melbourne Storm host Canterbury Bulldogs in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Jahrome Hughes Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Jahrome Hughes scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +25000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $2510 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +25000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $2510 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Melbourne Storm v Canterbury Bulldogs. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.