Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks, October 21, 2026

For Sandro Mamukelashvili to get under 1.5 assists tonight against the Golden State Warriors, he needs to have a quiet game in playmaking. The Warriors are pretty good at forcing turnovers, which could limit his chances to dish out assists. Plus, the Lakers often give up a lot of rebounds, but they also tend to focus on their scoring, which might leave less room for him to set up teammates. Mamukelashvili has a strong chance of staying under this mark because he might not see many minutes on the floor with the game pace. While the matchup looks favorable for him to contribute, the Warriors' defense could really clamp down. Just remember, he could surprise us, but tonight's setup suggests he may not find many opportunities.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors: Luka Doncic Under 40.5 Pts + Asts (+105)

Luka Doncic is playing at the Crypto.com Arena, where he tends to score and assist a bit less compared to when he's at home. He averages about 8.8 assists at home but only 6.8 when he's on the road. The Lakers also have a solid defense, which can make it harder for him to rack up points and assists. With the Lakers allowing a fair number of threes and rebounds, there's a chance for Doncic to contribute, but it's a tight matchup. He needs to hit just the right notes to go over 40.5 combined points and assists. Since the numbers show he's more effective at home, this could be a challenge for him today, making under 40.5 a good pick.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors: Quentin Grimes Under 2.5 Assists (+105)

You can get +105 odds on Quentin Grimes to have under 2.5 assists against the Golden State Warriors. Our numbers think there's a good chance this will happen. Grimes has been averaging around 3.1 assists at home, but he's also been facing tough defenses lately. One thing to watch out for is that Grimes is still getting used to his role, and he might not get as many opportunities to dish out assists. With the Warriors' strong defense, this could be a low-scoring game where every point counts. So while there's a solid chance for the under, it could go either way.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.