On Friday 2 October 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 189.5 Total Points, priced at -250 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 189.5 Total Points (-250)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Las Vegas Aces are on fire, winning their last six games and averaging an impressive 91.6 points per game this season. Meanwhile, the Indiana Fever have been less consistent, winning only five of their last ten and scoring a solid but lower 98.0 points per game over their last 20 matchups. With both teams in different scoring rhythms and our numbers suggesting a combined total around 167.6 points, betting on the total points to be under 189.5 makes sense. The biggest risk is that the Fever could surprise with a high-scoring game, but the Aces' strong defense should help keep the score down. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Caitlin Clark Under 27.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Las Vegas Aces are on fire, winning six games in a row and scoring around 92 points each game. Meanwhile, the Indiana Fever have been getting mixed results, winning three of their last six and scoring about 98 points a game. Caitlin Clark has been impressive, averaging around 24 points at night. However, she might struggle against the Aces' strong defense, which could limit her scoring and rebounding. While Clark usually performs well, the matchup is tough, and the Aces focus heavily on defense. This makes it tricky for her to hit those higher numbers. It's a close call, but betting on Clark to score under 27.5 points and rebounds seems like a solid pick given the circumstances. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackie Young Under 32.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Jackie Young has been a solid player for the Las Vegas Aces, but he might struggle to reach big numbers in this matchup against the Indiana Fever. The Aces are on a hot streak, winning 6 in a row and scoring a lot of points, but the Fever are not pushovers, averaging 98 points in their last 20 games. This makes for a tighter game than it might seem at first. With Young averaging about 20 points and 7 assists at night, it's still a challenge to expect him to put up more than 32.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. The Fever's defense could give him a tough time, especially since both teams are fighting hard for wins. A lower scoring game could make it even tougher for him to hit that mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Under 38.5 Points and Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

A'ja Wilson from the Las Vegas Aces has been on fire lately, scoring an average of nearly 26 points at night. However, when you look at her performance during the day, her score drops a bit. With her averaging around 24 points in those daylight games, it suggests she might not be as effective this time around. The Aces are riding a strong winning streak, but the Indiana Fever have also been scoring well recently, putting up an average of 98 points in their last 20 games. This matchup is expected to be tight, and given the way A'ja has performed in the past during day games, betting under 38.5 points and rebounds could be a smart choice. Just remember, there's always a chance things can go differently! It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article