Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Breanna Stewart Key Factor): Analytics Breakdown

The odds at -152 for the Atlanta Dream to win look promising, especially since they've been on fire, winning 9 out of their last 10 games. They've also won all of their last 6 matches. On top of that, the teams they've played recently haven't been easy, with a combined record that shows they faced one of the toughest schedules in the league. The New York Liberty have also been doing well, winning 6 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6. However, they just might have a tougher time on the road, as they've traveled more than Atlanta and have played teams that are slightly tougher overall. The biggest risk is how closely matched these two teams can be based on their recent performances. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 31.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Breanna Stewart has been impressive, but her scoring and rebounding numbers drop during the day. While she averages about 22 points at night, that drops to around 16 in daylight games. The Atlanta Dream are also on a roll, winning 9 of their last 10 games, which means they are likely to have a strong defense against her. This matchup looks close, and with the Dream's solid form, it might be tougher for Stewart to reach those high numbers. Plus, both teams face a challenging schedule, but the Dream have been playing against slightly weaker teams lately. Bet under 31.5 points and rebounds for Stewart; it could be a smart choice given these factors. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pauline Astier Over 14.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Pauline Astier has been on a roll lately, especially at home. In her last few games, she's been scoring about 8.6 points at night and dishing out around 3 assists. That's a solid combination, and with the Atlanta Dream winning 9 of their last 10, she's likely to be involved in a lot of action. The Dream have been playing well, which can help boost her performance. However, the New York Liberty have been tough opponents, winning 6 of their last 10 games. This matchup could be close, and Astier will need to step up against a competitive team. Still, with her current form and the Dream's winning streak, I think she has a good chance to hit over 14.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordin Canada Over 14.5 Points and Rebounds (+109)

Jordin Canada has been playing really well lately, helping the Atlanta Dream win 9 of their last 10 games, including 6 in a row. She's been great at scoring and grabbing rebounds, so betting on her to get over 14.5 points and rebounds seems solid. The New York Liberty are tough opponents but Canada has the momentum on her side. The biggest risk is that the Liberty have faced stronger teams overall, which could make it harder for Canada to hit that mark. Still, she's in great form, making this a fun pick to consider. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.