Kyle Daukaus vs Marc-Andre Barriault Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Kyle Daukaus takes on Marc-Andre Barriault in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Marc-Andre Barriault to Win, priced at +210 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Marc-Andre Barriault to Win (+210)

Kyle Daukaus is a skilled fighter known for his grappling, but Marc-Andre Barriault brings a strong striking game and has the advantage in reach. This could be key since he can keep the fight at a distance and land more punches. Barriault is also coming off some good performances, which shows he's in solid form. Taking a chance on Barriault to win this fight is interesting because he's an underdog, and our numbers say he has a real shot at victory. The main risk is that Daukaus could take the fight to the ground and control the pace. Still, if Barriault can keep it standing, he might just pull off the upset. It was priced at +210 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $31 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Kyle Daukaus: last five L-W-W-L-L, lost the last fight, 4% of career wins came by knockout, 119 days since the last fight
• Marc-Andre Barriault: last five L-L-W-L-L, dropped the last 2, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 247 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Kyle Daukaus v Marc-Andre Barriault. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.