On October 24, 2026 our model has run New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Nikola Jokic Under 38.5 Pts + Rebs (+115), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

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Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans: Nikola Jokic Under 38.5 Pts + Rebs (+115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For tonight's game, Nikola Jokic needs to score points and grab rebounds, but we think he might fall short of 38.5 combined. The New Orleans Pelicans have been pretty tough on defense lately, allowing less than 44 rebounds on average, which could limit Jokic's chances to rack up those boards. Plus, while Jokic does well at home, his numbers can dip when he's facing strong defenses. He might also be focused on assisting his teammates rather than scoring himself. Jokic's ability to take over a game is undeniable, but tonight could be challenging with the Pelicans' defense in the mix.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans: Nikola Jokic Under 36.5 Pts + Asts (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Nikola Jokic to go under 36.5 points and assists tonight, he needs to have a quieter game. The Pelicans have a solid defense and can limit scoring chances, especially since they allow fewer threes than average. Jokic usually scores a bit more at home, but he might find it tough against New Orleans. The Nuggets also struggle with turnovers, and Jokic averages fewer assists away from home. He might not get the same opportunities in this matchup, especially if the Pelicans keep their defense tight. The main risk is that Jokic could still have a standout night, but with the way these teams play, going under seems likely.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans: DeMar DeRozan Under 0.5 3-Pointers (+100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

At Ball Arena, the Denver Nuggets are facing off against the New Orleans Pelicans. DeMar DeRozan has a good chance of staying under half a three-pointer in this game. The Nuggets have a solid defense that allows a reasonable number of threes, and they force turnovers slightly less often than average, which could limit DeRozan's opportunities to shoot from deep. The Pelicans also struggle with rebounds, giving up a decent number, but Denver's strong defense can put pressure on them. The biggest risk here is that DeRozan might find a way to sneak in a three, but our numbers suggest he might not. Overall, betting on him to score less than half a three-pointer looks promising for this matchup.

That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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