Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks (Jessica Shepard Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

The Dallas Wings have been playing well, winning four of their last six games and scoring an impressive average of 89 points. However, the Phoenix Mercury have struggled lately, winning only three of their last ten games. Still, they have a chance to keep this game close. The Wings might be favored, but the Mercury have been hanging around, losing by an average of about five points in recent games. That means they could cover the spread. The Mercury also have a solid ability to shoot threes, which could help them stay in the game. So, taking Phoenix Mercury +10 seems like a smart play. Just remember, they are up against a strong opponent, and that's the risk here. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jessica Shepard Under 10.5 Rebounds (+110)

The odds are offering a nice boost at +105 for Jessica Shepard to grab under 10.5 rebounds. Our numbers really like this pick because Shepard has been performing well lately, but not quite at a level that suggests she'll hit that over. In fact, the Dallas Wings have been stronger in their recent games, winning five of their last ten, while the Phoenix Mercury are struggling, winning only three. There's a solid chance Shepard could be limited in her rebounding opportunities, especially since the Wings allow opponents to shoot a fair number of three-pointers. This could lead to fewer boards for her, especially if the game is fast-paced. The biggest risk is how closely matched these two teams can be at times, so it's worth keeping an eye on how the game unfolds. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Awak Kuier Under 17.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Awak Kuier needs to score, grab a few rebounds, and dish out some assists tonight, but the bet is for her to finish with fewer than 17.5 combined. The Dallas Wings have been scoring well lately, averaging 89 points a game, but Kuier may face a tough matchup against the Phoenix Mercury, who have allowed opponents to put up a lot of three-pointers. With the Mercury struggling overall, they could focus on stopping her, making this a close call. Kuier has shown flashes of talent, but she has to compete with other players for stats. The Mercury have won only three of their last ten games and often fall behind, which could limit her chances for big numbers. Since the last several games, her team's scoring could also lead to fewer opportunities for her to shine. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kahleah Copper Over 22.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Kahleah Copper is on fire for the Dallas Wings, scoring a lot and grabbing rebounds lately. The Wings are doing well, winning four of their last six games and scoring an impressive average of 89 points a game this season. Copper has been a key part of that success, contributing significantly to both scoring and rebounding. On the other hand, the Phoenix Mercury have struggled, winning only three of their last ten games and allowing opponents to shoot plenty of threes. This could give Copper more chances to rack up points and rebounds. The matchup is tight, and while Copper could shine, remember the Mercury's defense is still tough. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Phoenix Mercury. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.