On Sunday 20 September 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Seattle Storm in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 158.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 158.5 Total Points (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

For the bet to hit tonight, the combined score needs to go over 158.5 points. The Golden State Valkyries have been scoring really well, averaging over 82 points a game and winning 8 of their last 10. Meanwhile, the Seattle Storm have struggled lately, winning just 2 of their last 10 games and giving up a lot of points. This matchup could lead to a high-scoring game, but keep in mind that both teams are pretty close in talent right now. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Seattle Storm +11.5 on the Line (+108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

For Seattle Storm to cover the point spread of 11.5 against the Golden State Valkyries, they need to keep the game close. The Storm have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, while the Valkyries have been strong, winning 8 of their last 10. However, the Valkyries typically score a lot, which might put pressure on the Storm. With the Storm losing games by an average of about 5 points over their last 12, they have a concrete chance to stay within the spread, especially since they've played against tough opponents before. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dominique Malonga Over 17.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Betting on Dominique Malonga to score over 17.5 points is looking promising at +110 odds. The Golden State Valkyries are in great form, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 82.6 points a game this season. On the other hand, the Seattle Storm have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 and losing by an average of about 5 points per game. They also have a hard time defending against players like Malonga, who could take advantage of that. The biggest risk is that Malonga has had some games where she hasn't reached this number, but the overall trend favors her. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Flau'jae Johnson Over 14.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Flau'jae Johnson from the Golden State Valkyries has been on fire lately, helping the team score an impressive 82.6 points per game. With the Valkyries winning 8 of their last 10 matches, they're in great form. On the other hand, the Seattle Storm are struggling, winning just 2 of their last 10 games and allowing a lot of points. The bet on Flau'jae to score over 14.5 points seems promising, but Seattle's defense might surprise us since they can be tough at times. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Awa Fam Under 11.5 Points and Assists (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Awa Fam from the Golden State Valkyries has been playing really well lately, helping her team win 8 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries are scoring a lot, averaging over 82 points a game, and Fam has been a key part of that. However, Seattle Storm has been struggling, winning only 2 of their last 10 games and often falling behind by almost 5 points in their recent matchups. We think Awa Fam will have a tough time hitting more than 11.5 points and assists in this game. The Storm have been allowing fewer points and really focusing on defense lately, so this could be a close one. Expect a competitive matchup, but betting on Fam to stay under those numbers feels like a solid choice. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Seattle Storm. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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