On Friday 18 September 2026, Chicago Sky play Washington Mystics in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 168 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 168 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing
Betting on under 168 points between the Chicago Sky and the Washington Mystics looks promising at -110 odds. Our numbers suggest that the total points will be around 164.8, which is pretty close to what the line is set at. Both teams have been scoring well lately, but their recent play hints at a lower combined score. One risk to consider is that the Sky and Mystics are only slightly different in overall scoring ability, making this matchup feel like a toss-up. Additionally, the Mystics have traveled quite a bit further than the Sky, which could impact their performance. Overall, this bet leans toward a lower total points outcome. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chicago Sky +4 on the Line (-120)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Chicago Sky have been playing well lately, showing they can keep games close. I like them to cover the spread at +4 against the Washington Mystics. The matchup is nearly even, with our numbers saying it's close to a coin flip. Chicago's recent form suggests they can compete effectively, especially since they've had less travel than Washington. The biggest worry is that the Sky might not win, as our model predicts they could lose by just over 2 points. Still, taking the points with Chicago feels like a solid choice here. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonia Citron Under 3.5 Rebounds (+108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Sonia Citron has been struggling with her rebounding lately, averaging under two defensive rebounds in her last few games. For this match against the Washington Mystics, I think she will stay under 3.5 rebounds. The Mystics have a solid rebounding game, which might limit her chances to grab boards. While this bet feels pretty balanced, the risk is that Citron could surprise and snag a few more rebounds than expected. With both teams closely matched and Citron's recent form, I reckon this is a smart pick to consider. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Georgia Amoore Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Georgia Amoore has been struggling to hit shots from beyond the arc lately. In her last five games, she's averaged just over four field goals made, but when it comes to three-pointers, she's only managed to make about 0.8. This suggests she's not finding her rhythm from long distance. Playing at home in Wintrust Arena against the Washington Mystics, the pressure might be on her, but the stats show she's not consistently making those three-pointers. The Mystics are a solid defensive team, which could make it even tougher for her to find open looks. With the bet being set at under 1.5 three-pointers made, there's a good chance she won't reach that mark. Just remember, it's a close matchup, so things could go either way. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kiki Iriafen Under 25.5 Points and Rebounds (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Kiki Iriafen has been on a bit of a scoring streak lately, but the Chicago Sky are facing the Washington Mystics, who are tough on defense. Iriafen usually gets around 19 points, but when you add in her rebounds, she often comes up short of 26 total. The Mystics have been strong at limiting opponents' scoring, making this a challenging matchup for her. While Kiki has been great, she only averages just over four free throws made and has struggled to rack up assists lately. This suggests she might not get enough chances to hit that number. With the game being so close, there's a real chance she might not reach the total of 25.5 points and rebounds here. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Chicago Sky v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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