On Wednesday 14 October 2026, Chelsea play Tottenham Hotspur in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -667 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Chelsea prepares to host Tottenham, the stage is set for a compelling showdown, especially when it comes to scoring. Chelsea’s home form has been impressive, averaging 2.8 goals in their last five matches at Stamford Bridge. They’ve also consistently found the back of the net against Spurs, winning their last five encounters without conceding. On the flip side, Tottenham has struggled recently, averaging just 0.6 goals per game over their last five outings, including a dismal away record. However, with Chelsea’s attack firing on all cylinders—boasting 13.8 shots and an average of 5.6 shots on target at home—it's hard to see them not scoring at least twice. Given the rich history of goals in this fixture and Chelsea’s scoring prowess, taking the over on 1.5 total goals feels like a savvy move for this match.
That is how our model reads Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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