Here are our Tennis picks for Tuesday 8 September 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Coco Gauff to win the match, priced at -164 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff: Coco Gauff to win the match (-164)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Mirra Andreeva faces Coco Gauff at US Open on Wednesday 9 September 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Coco Gauff wins the match. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Coco Gauff presents excellent value at 1.61 against Mirra Andreeva, given her superior recent form and serve performance. She boasts a 90% win rate in her last 10 matches, indicating strong momentum. In contrast, Andreeva's performance metrics reveal significant vulnerabilities, particularly on hard courts. Gauff's ability to win 74% of her service points combined with a 40% break point save rate highlights her effectiveness under pressure. Conversely, Andreeva has struggled, with her opponents winning 63% of their service points, indicating a potential weakness in her return game. Gauff's ace rate (2.57%) and low double fault rate (3.25%) further enhance her reliability in crucial moments. Overall, these predictive stats suggest that Gauff’s solid serve and recent form make her the clear favorite in this matchup, justifying the favorable odds.

Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx: Alexander Blockx to win the match (+152)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Karen Khachanov faces Alexander Blockx at US Open on Wednesday 9 September 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Alexander Blockx wins the match. It was priced at +152 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25.20 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Betting on Alexander Blockx at 2.52 presents significant value due to his strong recent form and serve performance. Blockx boasts an impressive win rate of 80% over his last five matches, indicating solid momentum. His average first serve percentage is 51.4%, combined with winning 78.2% of first-serve points, reflecting effective service execution. Furthermore, he converts 44.2% of second-serve points, showcasing resilience under pressure. Blockx’s 55.6% break point save rate is critical in high-stakes moments, suggesting he can fend off Khachanov’s attacks. This combination of factors makes Blockx a compelling pick against Khachanov in this hard-court matchup.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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