On Friday 4 September 2026, Alex Michelsen faces Daniel Merida Aguilar in tennis. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: Alex Michelsen to win the match, priced at -175 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: Alex Michelsen to win the match (-175)

Odds available at betfair_ex_eu at time of publishing

Alex Michelsen faces Daniel Merida Aguilar at US Open on Friday 4 September 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Alex Michelsen wins the match. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Alex Michelsen is the value pick against Daniel Merida Aguilar due to superior recent form and serve performance on hard courts. Michelsen boasts a strong 60% win rate over the last five matches, complemented by an impressive average first-serve percentage of 61.9% and winning 74% of first-serve points. In contrast, Aguilar has struggled with a significantly lower average break point save percentage of just 29.2%, indicating vulnerability under pressure. Michelsen's second-serve points won (42%) also outperform Aguilar's (49%), suggesting he can capitalize on second-serve opportunities effectively.

That is how our model reads Alex Michelsen v Daniel Merida Aguilar. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article