Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears Prediction & Picks, October 18, 2026

The Atlanta Falcons are tough at home, especially when it comes to defending against tight ends, allowing fewer touchdowns than any other team last season. The Bears' offense has struggled at times, and the Falcons' D could make it hard for them to score. Plus, the Falcons' quarterback has faced a lot of pressure, which can lead to mistakes and stalled drives. While both teams have the potential to score, the Falcons' solid defense gives us a good chance to see the Bears score under 26.5 points. The risk here is that both teams are close in talent, so it could go either way. But with Atlanta's strong defensive record, this pick feels right for this matchup.

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears: Bijan Robinson Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts (-110)

The Falcons are playing at home, and they have a solid defense that doesn't often give up touchdowns to tight ends. Bijan Robinson has shown he can handle the ball a lot, especially since the Falcons' quarterback faced extra rushers more than average last season, which could lead to more rushing plays. With the Bears coming to town, it's a good chance for Robinson to rack up the attempts. However, this matchup is pretty tight overall, so there's a real chance things could go sideways. Still, the odds are close to even, meaning it could be a fun pick to cheer for. With Robinson's talent and the Falcons' game plan, I like the chances for him to get over 18.5 rushing attempts.

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears: Bijan Robinson Over 89.5 Rushing Yards (-111)

The Atlanta Falcons are set to face the Chicago Bears at home, and this is a perfect chance for Bijan Robinson to shine. Atlanta's defense is tough, especially against tight ends, but they often struggle when it comes to stopping strong running backs. Robinson has the skill to break tackles and make big plays, and he's been getting a lot of carries lately, which should help him rack up rushing yards. The matchup is pretty close, and that's the main risk here-both teams have their strengths. Robinson had a challenging time with extra pressure on the quarterback last season, but he still has the potential to get over 89.5 rushing yards. It could go either way, but I think he's got a good shot at it.

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears: Bijan Robinson Over 89.5 Rushing Yards (Alt) (-111)

Atlanta will host Chicago, and this matchup could favor Bijan Robinson's running game. The Bears have struggled to stop the run, and with Robinson's speed and skill, he has a good chance to break through their defense. Last season, Atlanta allowed very few touchdowns to tight ends, which suggests they might focus more on stopping the pass and less on the ground game. Robinson's quarterback faced extra pressure in a lot of his dropbacks, so running the ball could be a safer option. It's worth noting that this pick is rated close to a coin flip, which means it could go either way. The biggest risk is that both teams have been inconsistent, and that could affect how well Robinson performs.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.