On Thursday 17 September 2026, Atlanta Dream play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +13.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Connecticut Sun +13.5 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
For the Connecticut Sun to cover the spread, they need to keep the game within 13.5 points against the Atlanta Dream. The Sun have been competitive lately, and our numbers suggest they might lose by about 10 points, which is close enough to give them a good shot at covering the spread. The Sun also have a slight advantage in overall performance, despite the travel distance being a bit more than the Dream's. The main risk here is the Dream playing at home, where they can really feed off their crowd. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 170 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The total points line for the game between the Atlanta Dream and Connecticut Sun is set at 170, but our numbers suggest it should be lower, around 166.1. Both teams have been playing tightly contested games lately, and the close matchup means they might struggle to score high. Travel could also play a factor, as the Sun have traveled quite a bit further than the Dream. With both teams being evenly matched and the potential for a lower-scoring game, this pick leans toward the under. Just remember, one big run from either team can always change things. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jordin Canada has a solid chance to grab over 3.5 rebounds in this matchup against the Connecticut Sun. She's been playing well lately, averaging almost 0.6 offensive rebounds and 0.8 blocks in her recent games. With the game taking place at the Gateway Center Arena, she'll have the home crowd behind her, which could give her an extra boost. However, one thing to note is that the Sun are a tough team, and their rebounding skills can make this a close contest. Still, Canada's recent form and the energy of playing at home make this bet look promising. Let's see if she can deliver! It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Naz Hillmon Over 4.5 Rebounds (+112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Naz Hillmon needs to grab more than 4.5 rebounds for this bet to pay off tonight. She has been showing some solid form lately with an average of 10.2 points and a good number of shots taken from beyond the arc. This scoring ability can help keep her in the game longer, giving her more chances to rebound. The matchup with the Connecticut Sun is tough since both teams are pretty evenly matched. One risk is that Hillmon could face stiff competition for rebounds in the paint, especially since the teams are so close in overall performance. Still, with her recent play, there's a good chance she can step up and hit that mark. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angel Reese Over 15.5 Rebounds and Assists (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Angel Reese is on a hot streak, showing off her skills with more points and field goals than usual. She's not just scoring, though; her recent numbers show she's also grabbing a lot of rebounds and dishing out assists. With the Atlanta Dream playing at home, they'll be looking to keep up the pressure against the Connecticut Sun, who have struggled at times to contain strong players like Reese. Betting on Angel Reese to get over 15.5 rebounds and assists looks promising. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so the game could go either way. Still, with Reese playing so well lately, this bet seems like it has a decent chance to hit. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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