On Saturday 10 October 2026, Allen Frye Jr. takes on RJ Harris in the UFC. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 1.5 Total Rounds, priced at -106 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 1.5 Total Rounds (-106)

Odds correct at time of publishing

This fight between Allen Frye Jr. and RJ Harris is likely to end quickly. Both fighters have shown they can finish fights early, and our numbers suggest they might combine for less than one round. With this matchup being so closely rated, it makes sense to bet on fewer rounds. Frye Jr. tends to be aggressive, looking for early knockouts, while Harris also knows how to capitalize on openings fast. The biggest risk here is that both fighters could surprise us and make it past the first round. Still, everything points to a quick night in the cage. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

RJ Harris -7.5 on the Line (-189)

Odds correct at time of publishing

RJ Harris has a solid chance to win against Allen Frye Jr., and the numbers back that up. Harris has been on a roll lately, which gives him an advantage as he steps into this fight. The point spread of -7.5 suggests that he should finish the match with a comfortable lead, reflecting how he's likely to control the action. One thing to keep in mind is that Frye Jr. is no slouch, and the fight could be closer than expected. Both fighters have been resting, but Harris has more recent wins, which can really boost his confidence. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Allen Frye Jr. to Win (+284)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Allen Frye Jr. to win this fight against RJ Harris, he needs to stay on the offensive and use his striking skills effectively. Frye is facing a tough opponent, but he has the potential to surprise everyone as an underdog. Harris might be a solid fighter, but Frye's style could give him an advantage here. Both fighters are close in skill, making this a tricky matchup. The most concrete risk is that if Harris can take control early, he could swing the fight his way. However, Frye has a real shot to come out on top tonight. It was priced at +284 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $38.40 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Allen Frye Jr.: last five L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 300 days since the last fight
  • RJ Harris: last five W, won the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 84 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Allen Frye Jr. v RJ Harris. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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