Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan Prediction & Picks

Merab Dvalishvili is a tough fighter who keeps pushing the pace. He's known for his wrestling skills and can really wear down his opponents. Petr Yan is a skilled striker, but Dvalishvili's relentless style could give him a big advantage in this matchup. Dvalishvili is an underdog here, but our numbers show he has a real shot at winning. The age difference might play a role, as Dvalishvili is slightly younger, which could help him with stamina. The biggest risk is that Yan is a very experienced fighter, so if he can find his rhythm, he might take control. Still, Dvalishvili's style makes this a really interesting fight. It was priced at +133 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.30 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 4.5 Total Rounds (+280)

The odds of +290 for under 4.5 rounds in the fight between Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan look appealing. Our numbers suggest a good chance this fight won't go the distance. Both fighters are known for their aggressive styles, which often leads to finishes rather than going the full distance. Dvalishvili is a relentless striker, while Yan has solid grappling skills. With their fighting styles, we expect a lot of action early on. The biggest risk here is how evenly matched they are, which could lead to a longer bout. Still, with an expected total of about 2.1 rounds, it feels like a strong pick for a quick finish. It was priced at +280 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $38 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Merab Dvalishvili: last five L-W-W-W-W, lost the last fight, 4% of career wins came by knockout, 322 days since the last fight
• Petr Yan: last five W-W-W-W-L, on a 4-fight win streak, 16% of career wins came by knockout, 322 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Merab Dvalishvili v Petr Yan. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.