On Tuesday 18 August 2026, Alik Lorenz takes on Mahamed Aly in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Alik Lorenz to Win, priced at +245 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Alik Lorenz to Win (+245)

Odds available at Grosvenor at time of publishing

I'm picking Alik Lorenz to win his fight against Mahamed Aly. Lorenz has a strong striking style and can really put pressure on his opponents. If he keeps the fight standing and lands his shots, he has a good chance of coming out on top. Aly might be tough, but Lorenz is an underdog with a real shot here. Just remember, fights can be unpredictable, so while I like Lorenz's chances, there's no guarantee he'll win. It should be an exciting matchup! It was priced at +245 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $34.50 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Alik Lorenz: last five L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 356 days since the last fight
  • Mahamed Aly: last five L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 335 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Alik Lorenz v Mahamed Aly. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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