On Wednesday 30 September 2026, Washington Mystics play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 174.5 Total Points, priced at -263 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 174.5 Total Points (-263)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
The Washington Mystics have been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 84 points per game this season. But the Atlanta Dream are also hot, winning 9 of their last 10. Despite both teams playing well, their recent matchups suggest a lower score. Our numbers think the combined total will be around 156, which is quite a bit under 174.5. The risk here is that both teams are in good form, so they could surprise us. Still, taking the under feels like a solid choice today. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angel Reese Over 2.5 Assists (+110)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
For Angel Reese to get over 2.5 assists tonight, she needs to connect well with her teammates. She's been playing great, averaging around 15.1 rebounds and assists at home, which shows she knows how to get others involved. The Mystics have won 7 of their last 10 games, and they are scoring a solid 83.8 points a game, so there should be plenty of chances for her to dish out assists. The biggest risk is that Atlanta has been on a hot streak, winning 9 of their last 10, which could make it a tough game. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonia Citron Under 20.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Sonia Citron has been strong lately, but she's facing a tough challenge against the Washington Mystics, who have won 8 of their last 10 games. With the Mystics scoring an impressive 84 points a game this season, they're in great form, making it harder for opponents to shine. While Citron has been averaging 20.9 points and assists at home, the Mystics' solid defense could keep her in check. The Atlanta Dream have also been playing well, winning 9 of their last 10, but they've faced teams with weaker records recently. This matchup could be close, and with the Mystics' strong performance, there's a real chance Citron might not hit that 20.5 mark tonight. It's worth considering the under for her points plus assists. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Naz Hillmon Over 10.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-109)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Naz Hillmon has been playing well lately, and this game against the Washington Mystics could be a good chance for her to shine. She's been averaging about 11 points and assists at night, which puts her in a great spot to hit the over on 10.5 for points, rebounds, and assists. The Mystics have been strong overall, winning 8 of their last 10 games, but Hillmon has shown she can step up against tough competition. One risk to consider is that both teams have been winning often, which could mean a close game and fewer opportunities for individual stats. Still, with Hillmon's recent performance and the Mystics' scoring style, there's a solid chance she can get over that 10.5 mark. It should be an exciting matchup at CareFirst Arena! It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.