Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks, October 17, 2026

At T-Mobile Arena, the Vegas Golden Knights are looking strong, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They've been playing solid defense, and their last few matches have seen fewer goals scored overall. The Pittsburgh Penguins have also shown some promise, winning 5 of their last 10, but they've struggled to find the back of the net consistently. With both teams being more focused on defense lately, I think the total goals will stay under 6.5. It's a close matchup, and the combined total is expected to be around 6.0, which shows how evenly matched they are. The biggest risk is the potential for one team to break out and score more than expected, but that doesn't seem likely given their recent form.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins +0.5 3rd Period Puck Line (-122)

The Pittsburgh Penguins have been playing well lately, winning 5 of their last 10 games. They're up against the Vegas Golden Knights, who have won 6 out of their last 10. This matchup is pretty close, which makes it exciting. The Penguins will want to keep the game tight, especially in the third period, where they can hold their own. Betting on the Penguins to cover the puck line at +0.5 in the third period looks solid. They have a good chance to either tie or win that part of the game. One risk to consider is that both teams are strong, so it could be a tight finish. But with how the Penguins have been playing, they should be able to keep it competitive.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 Puck Line (-135)

The Pittsburgh Penguins have won 5 of their last 10 games, showing they can compete with tough teams. Meanwhile, the Vegas Golden Knights have taken 6 of their last 10, making this matchup pretty balanced. Betting on the Penguins with a +1.5 goal cushion gives them some extra room to work with, which is handy in a close game like this. While both teams have strong players, the Penguins might have a slight challenge against the Knights at T-Mobile Arena. The Penguins will need to watch out for the Golden Knights' recent success, but they can hold their own. This bet has a good chance of hitting, but keep in mind the close nature of the matchup could lead to a nail-biter.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.