On Sunday 20 September 2026, Toronto Tempo play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 174.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 174.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Toronto Tempo have been struggling lately, winning just 1 of their last 10 games, while the New York Liberty are on a roll with 7 wins in their last 10. Both teams have faced tough opponents, but the Tempo have a particularly challenging schedule, which likely affects their scoring. Our numbers suggest this game will be low-scoring, predicting a combined total of about 167.8 points. The biggest risk here is that even with their recent success, the Liberty could surprise and score more than expected. Still, betting on under 174.5 points feels like a solid choice. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Toronto Tempo +21.5 on the Line (-345)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Toronto Tempo have really struggled lately, winning just 1 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, New York Liberty are looking strong, having won 7 of their last 10. This bet is for Toronto Tempo to keep the score within 21.5 points. Even though they have a tough schedule, they might surprise us since they are at home. The biggest concern is that New York has been dominating their recent matchups, so it won't be easy. Still, with a little hope, Toronto could make this closer than expected. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kiki Rice Under 3.5 Rebounds (+110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
You can get odds of +108 on Kiki Rice grabbing under 3.5 rebounds in this game. Our numbers think there's a solid chance she'll fall short of that total. The New York Liberty have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and consistently outscoring their opponents by over 8 points per game. Kiki Rice has been up against tough competition lately, with her Toronto Tempo team winning just 1 of their last 10 games. The Liberty's defense has also been pretty tight, giving up only a few rebounds, which could limit Rice's opportunities. With both teams in these forms, it might be tricky for her to hit those rebounds. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart is sitting at a points line of under 20.5, and our numbers think that's a solid pick. The New York Liberty have been rolling lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring 8.4 points more than their opponents on average. However, Toronto Tempo has faced a tough schedule this season, and they've only managed to win once in their last 10 games. One risk to consider is that Stewart is capable of big games, but the Liberty's style allows opponents to take a lot of three-point shots without giving up too many inside looks. This could limit her scoring opportunities. Even with that in mind, betting under 20.5 points seems like a reasonable choice based on how both teams are performing. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Toronto Tempo have struggled lately, winning just one of their last ten games. They've faced some tough teams, so that makes things even harder for them. Meanwhile, the New York Liberty are on a roll, winning seven of their last ten and averaging a solid lead of over eight points in their recent games. Jonquel Jones has been a key player, but he might find it tough against the Liberty's defense, which lets opponents shoot threes at a high rate. The risk here is that Toronto is really trying to turn things around, and that could spark a surprise. Still, betting on him to score under 14.5 points makes sense given the current form of both teams. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Toronto Tempo v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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