On Monday 21 September 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Seattle Storm in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 176 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 176 Total Points (-108)

Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing

The Las Vegas Aces are scoring well lately, but they've often kept games tight, finishing about 4 points behind on average in recent matchups. The Seattle Storm, on the other hand, have struggled, only winning 2 out of their last 10 games. Both teams give up a lot of three-point attempts, but their recent scoring suggests a lower combined total. Taking the total points under 176 seems like a solid bet. Our numbers suggest they'll combine for around 171 points, which is pretty close to what they've been doing recently. The biggest risk here is how well both teams can shoot on the night; if they find their rhythm, it could change things. Still, it feels like a good spot for the under. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Seattle Storm +15.5 on the Line (-135)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

For Seattle Storm to cover the spread, they need to keep the game close against the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces have been solid, winning six of their last ten games, but they often allow teams to score from long range. The Storm, despite struggling recently, can take advantage of this and make it competitive. Both teams have been letting in around the same number of three-point attempts, so it might come down to who can shoot better on the night. The biggest risk is that the Aces have a stronger recent record, making it tough for the Storm to stay within that big spread. It was priced at -135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dominique Malonga Over 8.5 Rebounds (+109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The odds of +109 for Dominique Malonga to grab over 8.5 rebounds look promising. The Las Vegas Aces have been strong lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games, but they've also allowed opponents to take a lot of three-point shots. This can lead to more missed shots and more chances for rebounds. Meanwhile, the Seattle Storm have really struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 and coming out 4.9 points behind on average. The biggest risk is how closely matched these two teams can be on any given night. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackie Young Under 31.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Jackie Young from the Las Vegas Aces is up against the Seattle Storm, who have really struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. The Aces have been doing better, but even they have been coming out just a little behind in recent matchups. With both teams allowing plenty of three-point attempts, it's likely that the game will be more focused on shooting from outside than on rebounding or assists. Given this context, betting on Jackie Young to score under 31.5 points, rebounds, and assists seems like a solid choice. The risk here is that even with Seattle's struggles, they might surprise everyone with a strong performance, making this number close to reach. But with the current trend, it feels like a good chance to go under. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jewell Loyd Under 7.5 Points (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Jewell Loyd has been struggling to find her rhythm lately, and this matchup against the Las Vegas Aces could make it tougher. The Aces have been solid defensively, allowing opponents to shoot a lot of threes but still keeping scores in check. With Loyd's recent form and the Aces' defense, the chances of her going under 7.5 points look pretty favorable. The Seattle Storm have not been playing well, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, and Loyd has not been getting the support she needs. There's always a risk that she could surprise everyone and have a breakout game, but with the way both teams are performing, sticking with under 7.5 points seems like a smart call. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Seattle Storm. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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