On Sunday 20 September 2026, Connecticut Sun play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line, priced at -417 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line (-417)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

For the Connecticut Sun to cover the +27.5 spread, they need to keep the game close against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 91.3 points per game. However, the Sun have shown they can challenge, even though they've struggled recently, winning only 3 of their last 10. Plus, they often let teams shoot a lot of threes, which could help them stay competitive. The biggest risk is that Minnesota has been playing well, but this spread seems generous for a team looking to bounce back. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Aaliyah Edwards Over 11.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Aaliyah Edwards is in good form, and with the Connecticut Sun struggling to score lately, she'll need to step up. The Lynx have been lighting it up, averaging over 91 points a game, so that creates a good chance for Edwards to find opportunities to score. Plus, the Sun's defense has been shaky, allowing more chances. The biggest risk here is that Connecticut has only won 1 of their last 6 games, which shows they're not playing their best. Still, with the right looks, Edwards should be able to get over 11.5 points. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Saniya Rivers Over 8.5 Points (+109)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

For Saniya Rivers to score over 8.5 points tonight, she'll need to take advantage of the Sun's struggles. Connecticut has only won 1 of their last 6 games, and they're scoring just 78.5 points a game. In contrast, Minnesota is on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 and scoring an impressive 91.3 points. Rivers has been getting more chances lately, which helps her chances. The biggest risk is that the Sun might struggle to keep up their scoring. But with Rivers stepping up, this bet has a good chance to hit. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla McBride Over 18.5 Points (+112)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

For Kayla McBride to score over 18.5 points tonight, she needs to keep up her solid form against the Connecticut Sun. The Lynx have been on fire lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring a whopping 91.3 points a game. McBride has been a key player in this success, and the Sun have struggled defensively, giving up a lot of points and letting teams shoot a high number of three-pointers. However, the Sun have a chance to turn things around, as they have won 3 of their last 10 games and often come out fighting after falling behind. With both teams being so close in their recent performances, it could go either way. Still, with Minnesota's scoring ability, McBride is likely to find opportunities to score tonight. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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