On Friday 18 September 2026, Toronto Tempo play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Toronto Tempo +12 on the Line, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Toronto Tempo +12 on the Line (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
Toronto Tempo has been struggling lately, and their recent form shows they need to bounce back. However, they are playing at home, which usually gives teams a little boost. The pick is for Toronto Tempo to lose by less than 12 points against the Indiana Fever. Our numbers suggest they have a good chance to keep it close, with a predicted final score difference of about 6 points. One thing to note is that the Fever have a slightly better winning percentage and have traveled less distance for this game. That could give them an advantage. Still, Toronto's home court is a factor, and they'll be eager to show up for their fans. This bet could definitely lose, but it seems like a solid chance for a close game. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 204.5 Total Points (-417)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Toronto Tempo and Indiana Fever face off at Coca-Cola Coliseum, and both teams are struggling with scoring lately. Our numbers suggest a combined total of about 165 points, which is well below the line set for this game. The Tempo has a tough travel distance advantage, having played more recently, while the Fever's scoring has dipped significantly. The biggest risk is that these teams are closely matched in record, so surprises can happen. Still, we think the total will stay under 204.5 based on their current form. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Aliyah Boston has been really active lately, making a lot of free throws and grabbing steals, which shows she's playing well. We're betting on her to score over 16.5 points against the Indiana Fever. She's been consistent with her scoring and can take advantage of the Fever's defense. The matchup is pretty tight, so while she has a good chance to hit that point total, the Fever could put up a strong fight. It's a close call, but Boston's recent form makes this bet worth a shot. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Caitlin Clark Over 32.5 Points and Assists (-111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The odds are set at -115 for Caitlin Clark to score over 32.5 points and assists. Our numbers see a good chance for this to happen, especially since she's been making about 3.8 three-pointers per game lately, which is a solid boost for her scoring. Plus, her recent play has her contributing a lot to the game, with a plus-minus of 4.8, meaning her presence really helps her team. The main risk here is that she's not getting many offensive rebounds, so she'll need to rely on her shots and assists to hit that mark. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Makayla Timpson Under 17.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-109)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
The odds for Makayla Timpson to score under 17.5 points, rebounds, and assists look pretty fair at -106. Our numbers show she's been doing well lately, averaging about 12 points, which is above her usual. However, she's also been grabbing more offensive rebounds and making more free throws than normal, which could push her total up. Still, the matchup against the Indiana Fever is tricky. They are a solid team defensively, and Timpson's ability to make an impact may be limited. Plus, she has been averaging only a few steals and turnovers are down, meaning her chances to create extra opportunities might not be there. It's definitely a bit of a gamble, but the numbers suggest it's a good spot for this pick. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Toronto Tempo v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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