Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Friday 07/17 (Edwin Arroyo Highlights): Smart Player Wagers

As the Angels host the Tigers this Saturday, all eyes should be on Josh Lowe. The outfielder has been on a tear lately, showcasing his ability to pile up hits, runs, and RBIs. With the Angels' potent lineup backing him, Lowe has found himself in favorable positions to capitalize. The Tigers’ pitching staff has struggled, particularly against left-handed batters, and Lowe, a lefty himself, figures to exploit any weaknesses. With the Angels averaging over five runs a game at home, there’s plenty of opportunity for Lowe to not just reach, but exceed that 1.5 mark. Also, don’t overlook the recent trend: he’s been consistently getting on base and driving in runs when the team needs him most. Given the statistical edge in terms of matchup and recent performance, betting on Lowe to go over 1.5 in hits, runs, or RBIs looks like a smart play in this exciting matchup.

Wyatt Langford (TEX) Under 0.5 Hits (+140)

As we gear up for this intriguing matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Texas Rangers, all eyes should be on Wyatt Langford. The young slugger has shown flashes of brilliance, but in this particular game, I’m leaning toward him coming up short. The Braves' pitching staff is in fine form, boasting a combined 3.50 ERA over their last month, and they’ve been especially tough on left-handed hitters. With Langford facing off against a Braves rotation that excels at limiting hard contact, he may find it hard to string together hits. Moreover, Texas has struggled to generate consistent offense lately, particularly in away games. With Langford’s recent struggles against quality pitching, the odds favor him staying under that 0.5 hit mark. It’s a smart play to take the under here, especially with the Braves' pitching prowess looming large. This matchup might just keep Langford at bay for a night.

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SDP) Under 1.5 Hits (-179)

As the Royals welcome the Padres to Kauffman Stadium, all eyes will be on Fernando Tatis Jr., but backing the “Under 1.5 hits” could be the smart play here. Tatis has been battling inconsistency lately, with his batting average dipping to a modest .250 over the past two weeks. The Royals' pitching staff, while not elite, has found a groove, allowing just a .220 average against right-handed hitters. Moreover, Tatis has faced Kansas City's starter, who’s effectively mixing pitches and keeping hitters off balance. In their last matchups, Tatis has struggled against pitchers with similar styles, managing just one hit in his last three encounters against them. Given these trends and the pressure of the game, it wouldn't be surprising to see Tatis held in check. So, while he’s a star, the evidence suggests he might fall short of that 1.5 hits mark today.

Hunter Goodman (COL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-111)

As the Rockies gear up to face the Reds, all eyes will be on Hunter Goodman, but a closer look at the matchup suggests a more cautious approach. Goodman has struggled against left-handed pitching, and with Cincinnati’s southpaw on the mound, he could find himself in a tough spot. The Rockies have faced lefties 20 times this season, and their collective batting average has dipped to a mere .230 in those matchups. Goodman’s recent form hasn’t been encouraging either, with only one extra-base hit in his last five games. Meanwhile, the Reds’ pitcher has been solid lately, consistently keeping hitters in check and limiting hard contact. Given the trends and the Rockies' tendency to struggle against lefties, expecting Goodman to surpass 1.5 total bases feels like a stretch. A bet on the “Under” here makes a lot of sense, as the numbers and current form align against a breakout performance.

Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 1.5 Hits (-222)

As the Kansas City Royals gear up to face the San Diego Padres, all eyes will be on young talent Jackson Merrill. While Merrill has shown flashes of potential, his recent performance suggests he may struggle against the Royals' pitching staff. The Royals have quietly become a formidable unit on the mound, boasting a solid strikeout rate that could keep Merrill guessing at the plate. Given the Padres' tendency to swing and miss more than they’d like lately, Merrill might find it tough to navigate a reliable Royals rotation. Additionally, Kansas City’s bullpen has been particularly effective, limiting opposing hitters' opportunities late in games. With the under at 1.5 hits for Merrill looking increasingly favorable, betters should feel confident in this wager. The combination of recent trends and sharp pitching could mean a quiet day for the young slugger.