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Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Latest settled result · YESTERDAY

Every pick we publish, tracked and settled.

Every pick is published before kick-off, then settled in public at the price we posted. This page is the live record — and the machine that reads it: what’s proven, what’s been retired, and what’s still earning its place.

+$15,776
profit on flat $100 bets · last 7 days on our free public board · 981 graded picks · every pick logged before kick-off
33,875
Bets settled in public
19,197W 14,678L
Every result published
14
Months on the record

Every settled bet is here — wins and losses — in the cell-by-cell table below and in our public data feed. Nothing is left out.

Where the model earns its keep

The same 30-day window — but only the picks our model rated as real value, where its fair price was at least 3% better than the odds. The bets it backed hardest.

Model's best value · last 30 days
+99.2u
Units P/L
+5.3%
ROI

Recent wins

The latest winning picks as they settle. The full record — every settled pick, wins and losses — is counted in the record above and in our public data feed.

WON
Arizona Diamondbacks -3.5
MLB · Spread · Aug 6
+394 · +3.94u
WON
Los Angeles Angels
MLB · Moneyline · Aug 6
+910 · +9.10u
WON
Seattle Mariners +2.5
MLB · Spread · Aug 6
+265 · +2.65u
WON
San Diego Padres +1.5
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+350 · +3.50u
WON
Atlanta Braves -2.5
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+260 · +2.60u
WON
Baltimore Orioles -2.5
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+250 · +2.50u
WON
Boston Red Sox -2.5
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+290 · +2.90u
WON
Chicago Cubs -1
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+270 · +2.70u
WON
Cleveland Guardians +2
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+270 · +2.70u
WON
Tampa Bay Rays -3
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+162 · +1.62u
WON
Houston Astros -3.5
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+340 · +3.40u
WON
Kansas City Royals
MLB · Moneyline · Aug 5
-112 · +0.89u
WON
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+176 · +1.76u
WON
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+210 · +2.10u
WON
Washington Nationals +3
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+390 · +3.90u
WON
Detroit Tigers -3
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+379 · +3.79u
WON
Texas Rangers +3.5
MLB · Spread · Aug 5
+370 · +3.70u
WON
Alex Michelsen
Tennis · Moneyline · Aug 5
-105 · +0.95u
WON
Alina Korneeva
Tennis · Moneyline · Aug 5
+150 · +1.50u
WON
Aryna Sabalenka
Tennis · Moneyline · Aug 5
-1000 · +0.10u
WON
Elina Svitolina
Tennis · Moneyline · Aug 5
-222 · +0.45u
WON
Matteo Arnaldi
Tennis · Moneyline · Aug 5
+125 · +1.25u
WON
Ben Shelton
Tennis · Moneyline · Aug 5
-270 · +0.37u
WON
Jessica Pegula
Tennis · Moneyline · Aug 5
-625 · +0.16u
WON
Terence Atmane
Tennis · Moneyline · Aug 5
+120 · +1.20u
WON
Learner Tien
Tennis · Moneyline · Aug 5
-270 · +0.37u

The machine, live

This system promotes combinations when they prove themselves and retires them when they don't — in public, with dates. Below: the proven set's climb, and the machine's latest calls.

Proven combinations · cumulative · since the Jul 20 rebuild
+$18,67620 Jul6 Aug
Every proven combination pooled — cumulative profit at flat $100 a bet since the Jul 20 model rebuild. The dips stay in; that's what a real record looks like.
AUG 6 PROMOTED NRL · Alt Spread · 85%+crossed the 50-bet measurement bar that day — verdict today: proven, floor +2.5%
AUG 5 PROMOTED WNBA · Pts+Reb+Ast (Alt) · Over · 70-85%crossed the 50-bet measurement bar that day — verdict today: proven, floor +3.2%
AUG 4 PROMOTED MLB · Pitcher - Hits Allowed · Under · 70-85%crossed the 50-bet measurement bar that day — verdict today: proven, floor +2.1%
AUG 3 PROMOTED WNBA · Rebounds · Under · 60-70%crossed the 50-bet measurement bar that day — verdict today: proven, floor +0.4%
JUL 8 PROMOTED MLB · Batter - Hits · Under · 85%+crossed the 50-bet measurement bar that day — verdict today: proven, floor +2.4%
JUL 3 PROMOTED MLB · Total Runs · Under · 60-70%crossed the 50-bet measurement bar that day — verdict today: proven, floor +3.7%
JUN 29 PROMOTED MLB · Total Runs · Under · 50-60%crossed the 50-bet measurement bar that day — verdict today: proven, floor +6.1%
JUN 17 PROMOTED MLB · Total Runs · Under · 70-85%crossed the 50-bet measurement bar that day — verdict today: proven, floor +10.5%

The record, cell by cell

Every combination of sport, market, side and model confidence we've bet 50+ times — winners and losers, nothing filtered. Green means even our pessimistic estimate of that combination is profitable. Red means our system has proven it loses — and automatically stops betting it.

Proven money-makers

14 combinations

Even our cautious estimate — the worst-case column — says these win. Dollar figures are each combination's real settled record at flat $100 a bet. Click any name to see every bet behind it.

Proven combinations — settled record by market and model-confidence band
CombinationConfidenceBets Win rate$ profitReturnWorst caseVerdict
MLB · Total Runs · Over 85%+ 134 77.6% +$2,977 +19.8% +10.7% Proven
MLB · Total Runs · Under 70-85% 316 73.1% +$5,346+$3,558 since Jul 20 rebuild +16.4% +10.5% Proven
MLB · Total Runs · Over 70-85% 627 67.8% +$8,951+$361 since Jul 20 rebuild +14.2% +9.7% Proven
MLB · Total Runs · Under <50% 496 36.9% +$9,444+$10,571 since Jul 20 rebuild +18.5% +9.2% Proven
MLB · Total Runs · Over 60-70% 474 53.6% +$7,366 +15.3% +8.4% Proven
MLB · Total Runs · Under 50-60% 242 52.5% +$3,911+$3,279 since Jul 20 rebuild +15.7% +6.1% Proven
MLB · Total Runs · Under 60-70% 186 57.5% +$2,597+$1,648 since Jul 20 rebuild +13.8% +3.7% Proven
WNBA · Pts+Reb+Ast (Alt) · Over 70-85% 57 70.2% +$1,078+$1,078 since Jul 20 rebuild +16.8% +3.2% Proven
NRL · Alt Spread 85%+ 50 100.0% +$444+$444 since Jul 20 rebuild +3.0% +2.5% Proven
MLB · Batter - Hits · Under 85%+ 344 76.2% +$2,279+$2,049 since Jul 20 rebuild +6.6% +2.4% Proven
MLB · Pitcher - Hits Allowed · Under 70-85% 77 63.6% +$1,423+$1,423 since Jul 20 rebuild +15.4% +2.1% Proven
MLB · Total Runs · Over <50% 1,049 31.3% +$8,075 +8.0% +1.4% Proven
MLB · Total Runs · Over 50-60% 465 44.1% +$3,445 +8.0% +0.4% Proven
WNBA · Rebounds · Under 60-70% 57 64.9% +$1,213+$1,152 since Jul 20 rebuild +15.8% +0.4% Proven

Earning their place

50 combinations

Being measured, not bet — no verdict yet either way, so no colours and no money columns. Each one graduates the day its worst-case estimate clears zero, or retires if it proves it loses.

Combinations still being measured — record so far, no verdict yet
CombinationConfidenceBets Win rateReturn so farWorst caseStatus
MLB · Batter - Total Bases · Under 70-85% 936 60.8% -2.3% -5.6% Being measured
MLB · Batter - Runs Scored · Under 70-85% 816 63.2% -2.6% -6.0% Being measured
MLB · Batter - Singles · Under 70-85% 557 58.7% -2.8% -7.3% Being measured
MLB · Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs · Under 70-85% 491 55.6% -1.7% -6.8% Being measured
MLB · Batter - RBIs · Under 85%+ 317 75.4% -1.6% -5.7% Being measured
Tennis · Total Games · Under 60-70% 230 56.1% -6.7% -13.8% Being measured
MLB · Batter - Walks · Under 70-85% 222 69.4% -2.0% -7.7% Being measured
Tennis · Set 2 Total Games · Over 85%+ 182 92.3% -2.1% -4.8% Being measured
Tennis · Set 1 Total Games · Over 85%+ 170 90.0% -2.9% -6.1% Being measured
Soccer · Both Teams to Score 50-60% 162 45.7% -8.2% -18.5% Being measured
MLB · Batter - Total Bases · Under 85%+ 148 70.3% +6.3% -1.2% Being measured
MLB · Batter - Hits · Under 70-85% 146 73.3% +6.2% -0.7% Being measured
NFL · Receiving Yards (Alt) · Over <50% 142 33.1% +18.9% -1.3% Being measured
MLB · Moneyline 60-70% 138 50.0% +8.4% -6.2% Being measured
WNBA · Points · Under 60-70% 132 46.2% -10.3% -20.9% Being measured
MLB · Moneyline 50-60% 128 49.2% +13.8% -1.9% Being measured
Soccer · Draw No Bet <50% 124 25.8% -9.2% -28.9% Being measured
WNBA · Points · Under 70-85% 109 45.0% -11.6% -23.3% Being measured
MLB · Pitcher - Earned Runs · Under 70-85% 108 59.3% +8.0% -3.2% Being measured
Tennis · Spread 50-60% 98 42.9% -6.8% -20.1% Being measured
NFL · Receiving Yards · Under 60-70% 90 52.2% -0.7% -13.5% Being measured
WNBA · Pts+Reb+Ast · Under 70-85% 85 50.6% -4.7% -17.9% Being measured
NFL · Rushing Yards (Alt) · Over <50% 80 21.2% -10.9% -36.7% Being measured
Tennis · Set 2 Total Games · Over 70-85% 76 72.4% -5.1% -13.7% Being measured
WNBA · Pts+Reb+Ast · Under 50-60% 76 43.4% -12.1% -26.2% Being measured
WNBA · Points (Alt) · Over 70-85% 74 55.4% -4.2% -16.5% Being measured
WNBA · Alt Spread 60-70% 74 63.5% +11.8% -0.7% Being measured
NFL · Receiving Yards · Under 50-60% 74 44.6% -9.4% -23.5% Being measured
Tennis · Spread 60-70% 73 60.3% +8.6% -5.3% Being measured
MLB · Moneyline <50% 73 35.6% +17.9% -12.3% Being measured
MLB · Batter - Singles · Under 85%+ 72 65.3% +0.1% -11.3% Being measured
Tennis · Set 1 Total Games · Over 70-85% 71 80.3% +1.6% -6.3% Being measured
WNBA · Pts+Reb+Ast · Over 60-70% 70 57.1% +2.6% -11.9% Being measured
WNBA · Pts+Reb · Under 60-70% 69 47.8% -9.7% -24.1% Being measured
MLB · Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings · Over 50-60% 69 36.2% -14.9% -33.6% Being measured
MLB · Moneyline 70-85% 68 50.0% +4.8% -12.2% Being measured
WNBA · Alt Total Points · Over 70-85% 68 72.1% -0.7% -11.4% Being measured
WNBA · Pts+Reb+Ast · Over 50-60% 66 51.5% -2.8% -18.1% Being measured
MLB · Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings · Over 60-70% 64 40.6% -16.0% -32.2% Being measured
Tennis · Set 1 Total Games · Under 70-85% 61 77.0% -2.8% -11.4% Being measured
WNBA · Points (Alt) · Over 60-70% 60 61.7% +9.8% -5.4% Being measured
MLB · Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings 50-60% 59 45.8% +2.4% -21.4% Being measured
WNBA · Points (Alt) · Over 50-60% 56 53.6% +10.2% -8.5% Being measured
NBA · Pts + Rebs · Over 60-70% 56 51.8% -5.0% -21.1% Being measured
WNBA · Points · Over 60-70% 55 58.2% +3.9% -12.9% Being measured
Tennis · Moneyline 70-85% 55 50.9% +0.3% -14.0% Being measured
AFL · Total Points · Under 60-70% 54 55.6% +7.6% -8.9% Being measured
WNBA · Pts+Ast · Under 60-70% 52 50.0% -6.7% -23.3% Being measured
NFL · Total Points · Over 50-60% 52 59.6% -0.7% -17.5% Being measured
NBA · Points · Over 70-85% 51 51.0% -7.0% -23.5% Being measured
We retire losers too — see the 20 combinations the machine has stopped betting ▾

Proven losers, published in full — the system stopped betting these automatically. This is why the green above is believable.

Retired combinations — proven losers the machine no longer bets
CombinationConfidenceBets Win rate$ resultReturnWorst caseVerdict
WNBA · Alt Total Points · Under 70-85% 148 38.5% −$6,813 -37.5% -44.7% Retired
WNBA · Alt Total Points · Under 60-70% 80 31.2% −$3,930 -34.9% -45.8% Retired
MLB · Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings · Over <50% 116 17.2% −$4,013 -27.5% -45.5% Retired
NFL · Anytime TD 50-60% 188 28.7% −$4,480 -25.2% -36.6% Retired
WNBA · Pts+Reb · Under 70-85% 76 35.5% −$2,592 -23.8% -36.9% Retired
NFL · Total Points · Under 50-60% 57 36.8% −$1,663 -23.0% -38.8% Retired
Tennis · Total Games · Under 50-60% 169 38.5% −$4,594 -22.7% -31.8% Retired
Soccer · Moneyline <50% 417 19.9% −$8,848 -20.8% -31.6% Retired
WNBA · Points · Under 50-60% 109 39.4% −$2,495 -17.5% -29.3% Retired
WNBA · Pts+Ast · Under 70-85% 57 40.4% −$1,448 -16.3% -31.8% Retired
MLB · Pitcher - Walks · Under 70-85% 76 48.7% −$1,183 -15.7% -28.6% Retired
AFL · Goals · Over 70-85% 170 59.4% −$2,683 -14.4% -21.4% Retired
WNBA · Pts+Reb+Ast · Under 60-70% 139 46.0% −$1,894 -11.5% -21.7% Retired
MLB · Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings · Over 60-70% 139 48.2% −$1,280 -10.5% -20.8% Retired
AFL · Disposals · Over 85%+ 724 75.8% −$7,373 -10.2% -12.6% Retired
AFL · Disposals · Over 70-85% 1,018 64.6% −$10,341 -10.1% -12.9% Retired
WNBA · Alt Total Points · Under 85%+ 302 78.1% −$1,269 -5.3% -9.1% Retired
AFL · Goals · Over 85%+ 144 80.6% −$518 -5.2% -10.3% Retired
MLB · Batter - Walks · Under 85%+ 880 73.5% −$4,427 -5.0% -7.5% Retired
MLB · Batter - RBIs · Under 70-85% 752 70.3% −$2,777 -3.6% -6.6% Retired

Showing 84 of 84 measured combinations · minimum 50 settled bets per cell · $ figures are real settled records at flat $100 a bet · return is shrunk toward each market's average so thin samples can't post lucky numbers · "worst case" = even if we've been lucky, at least this (80% bound) · win rate is context, return is the judge.

Emerging combinations — building evidence

The finer grain the auto-calibrator actually works at: combinations running a positive return so far on a sample that's still too small to call. Every row now shows its own settled record — how many bets, how many won, how many lost, and the units that came out. Nothing here is proven, and we don't pretend otherwise: green just means ahead so far, and the cautious reading (the floor) is usually still red. Each row graduates into the measured table above the day it crosses 50 settled bets — or quietly drops off if the return goes negative first. That's the bar working in public.

Emerging combinations — the settled record cell by cell (bets, won, lost, hit rate with its sample size, net units), ahead so far on a sample still short of the 50-bet measurement bar
CombinationConfidence · EdgeBets WonLostHit rateUnits ROI so farFloorProgress
WNBA · Points · Over 50-60% conf · <6% edge 47 31 16 66.0% of 47 +13.2u +28.2% -6.7% 47/50 settled
MLB · Batter - RBIs · Under 85%+ conf · <6% edge 46 39 7 84.8% of 46 +1.3u +2.9% -8.5% 46/50 settled
AFL · Goals · Over 85%+ conf · 6-10% edge 46 39 7 84.8% of 46 +0.2u +0.3% -13.2% 46/50 settled
MLB · Total Runs · Under 70-85% conf · 10-15% edge 45 36 9 80.0% of 45 +11.2u +24.9% +6.6% 45/50 settled
MLB · Total Runs · Over 85%+ conf · 10-15% edge 45 37 8 82.2% of 45 +3.7u +8.1% +1.2% 45/50 settled
MLB · Moneyline 50-60% conf · 6-10% edge 44 23 21 52.3% of 44 +5.1u +11.6% -9.8% 44/50 settled
MLB · Total Runs · Over 50-60% conf · 25%+ edge 42 16 26 38.1% of 42 +19.7u +47.0% -9.4% 42/50 settled
NFL · Total Points · Over 50-60% conf · <6% edge 40 25 15 62.5% of 40 +7.5u +18.8% -19.3% 40/50 settled
MLB · Total Runs · Over 85%+ conf · 15-25% edge 39 30 9 76.9% of 39 +3.8u +9.6% -0.9% 39/50 settled
Soccer · Draw No Bet <50% conf · 6-10% edge 39 16 23 41.0% of 39 +19.0u +48.6% -25.7% 39/50 settled
WNBA · Alt Spread 70-85% conf · 6-10% edge 38 32 6 84.2% of 38 +8.4u +22.2% +8.0% 38/50 settled
MLB · Pitcher - Hits Allowed · Under 70-85% conf · 15-25% edge 37 23 14 62.2% of 37 +4.5u +12.1% -7.6% 37/50 settled
WNBA · Points · Over 50-60% conf · 6-10% edge 37 22 15 59.5% of 37 +7.6u +20.6% -15.8% 37/50 settled
AFL · Disposals · Under 70-85% conf · 15-25% edge 37 20 17 54.1% of 37 +0.4u +1.1% -25.2% 37/50 settled
MLB · Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings · Under <50% conf · <6% edge 37 16 21 43.2% of 37 +6.3u +17.0% -28.1% 37/50 settled
MLB · Pitcher - Hits Allowed · Under 70-85% conf · 25%+ edge 36 24 12 66.7% of 36 +10.4u +28.8% -1.7% 36/50 settled
NFL · Receiving Yards · Under 70-85% conf · 15-25% edge 35 24 11 68.6% of 35 +10.3u +29.3% -7.0% 35/50 settled
MLB · Batter - Hits · Under 85%+ conf · 25%+ edge 35 24 11 68.6% of 35 +3.1u +8.8% -8.8% 35/50 settled
Tennis · Total Games · Under 60-70% conf · 10-15% edge 35 23 12 65.7% of 35 +6.4u +18.4% -15.7% 35/50 settled
WNBA · Pts+Reb+Ast · Over 60-70% conf · 10-15% edge 35 19 16 54.3% of 35 +1.0u +2.9% -22.8% 35/50 settled
WNBA · Alt Total Points · Under 60-70% conf · <6% edge 35 22 13 62.9% of 35 +0.4u +1.0% -23.9% 35/50 settled
WNBA · Alt Spread 60-70% conf · <6% edge 34 23 11 67.6% of 34 +2.5u +7.4% -3.5% 34/50 settled
MLB · Pitcher - Earned Runs · Under 70-85% conf · 25%+ edge 32 17 15 53.1% of 32 +0.9u +2.9% -15.7% 32/50 settled
MLB · Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings · Under 50-60% conf · <6% edge 31 17 14 54.8% of 31 +1.8u +5.6% -27.1% 31/50 settled
Tennis · Set 1 Total Games · Over 70-85% conf · <6% edge 30 26 4 86.7% of 30 +2.0u +6.6% -7.3% 30/50 settled
AFL · Total Points · Under 60-70% conf · 10-15% edge 30 18 12 60.0% of 30 +3.9u +13.1% -10.4% 30/50 settled
Tennis · Spread 60-70% conf · 10-15% edge 30 19 11 63.3% of 30 +4.7u +15.7% -12.6% 30/50 settled
MLB · Moneyline 60-70% conf · 15-25% edge 30 15 15 50.0% of 30 +2.3u +7.7% -16.1% 30/50 settled
WNBA · Alt Spread 70-85% conf · 10-15% edge 28 22 6 78.6% of 28 +6.0u +21.3% +2.7% 28/50 settled
MLB · Total Runs · Under 50-60% conf · 15-25% edge 28 15 13 53.6% of 28 +14.8u +53.0% -8.2% 28/50 settled
MLB · Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs · Under 85%+ conf · 25%+ edge 28 21 7 75.0% of 28 +6.5u +23.2% -10.4% 28/50 settled
Tennis · Spread 50-60% conf · 6-10% edge 28 17 11 60.7% of 28 +5.4u +19.3% -14.1% 28/50 settled
Tennis · Total Games · Over 50-60% conf · <6% edge 28 16 12 57.1% of 28 +1.1u +3.7% -25.7% 28/50 settled
NFL · Receiving Yards (Alt) · Over <50% conf · 10-15% edge 28 10 18 35.7% of 28 +17.3u +61.6% -30.4% 28/50 settled
MLB · Batter - Hits · Under 70-85% conf · 6-10% edge 27 21 6 77.8% of 27 +2.6u +9.5% -7.3% 27/50 settled
MLB · Batter - Hits · Under 70-85% conf · 15-25% edge 27 20 7 74.1% of 27 +4.3u +15.7% -7.6% 27/50 settled
NFL · Anytime TD 50-60% conf · 6-10% edge 27 12 15 44.4% of 27 +1.6u +6.0% -47.4% 27/50 settled
MLB · Batter - Runs Scored · Under 70-85% conf · 25%+ edge 26 17 9 65.4% of 26 +6.4u +24.5% -16.9% 26/50 settled
MLB · Batter - Singles · Under 85%+ conf · 25%+ edge 25 18 7 72.0% of 25 +4.9u +19.5% -14.6% 25/50 settled
Tennis · Set 1 Total Games · Over 50-60% conf · <6% edge 25 16 9 64.0% of 25 +3.4u +13.7% -17.5% 25/50 settled
WNBA · Total Points · Over 50-60% conf · <6% edge 25 18 7 72.0% of 25 +9.4u +37.5% -18.9% 25/50 settled
WNBA · Points · Over 60-70% conf · 10-15% edge 25 13 12 52.0% of 25 +0.2u +0.7% -28.9% 25/50 settled

Won, lost and units are the actual settled record of that exact combination — 1 unit a bet, win pays the price, a loss costs 1 unit. The sample size sits next to the hit rate, so a thin cell is obvious. Nothing is averaged up to sport level. Be clear on what this table is: only combinations that are ahead so far appear here — the ones that are behind sit in the table above. The floor stays red until the evidence is really there.

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How we track this

Flat staking. Every published selection is treated as a 1-unit bet at the price recorded for it — no parlaying up, no variable stakes. A "unit" just means one bet the same size every time — if you bet $100 a time, one unit is $100.

Honest math. A win at +odds returns odds/100 units; a win at −odds returns 100/|odds| units; a loss is −1 unit. ROI is total units divided by total picks.

The full data. Every graded selection behind these figures is available in our public data feed, and our approach is documented in full in the methodology.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results — please bet responsibly. Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.

These are settled — today is live

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

Every pick here was logged before tip-off and graded in public — win or loss. Today's board shows the ones the model is most confident are mispriced.

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