Here are our AFL picks for Friday 28 August 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Melbourne Demons Win, priced at +112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Melbourne Demons Win (+112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Melbourne Demons play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Melbourne Demons Win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies: Collingwood Magpies 2.5 (-109)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Western Bulldogs play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Collingwood Magpies 2.5. That is a Spread bet. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies: Under 42.5 team_totals_h1 (-120)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Western Bulldogs play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 42.5 team_totals_h1. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies: Collingwood Magpies Win (+105)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Western Bulldogs play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Collingwood Magpies Win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies: Under 21.5 team_totals_q1 (-132)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Western Bulldogs play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 21.5 team_totals_q1. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies: Collingwood Magpies 0.5 spreads_q2 (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Western Bulldogs play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Collingwood Magpies 0.5 spreads_q2. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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