WTA
WTA tennis predictions for Friday, September 25: the model leans Elise Mertens
3 WTA tennis matches on Friday. The model's strongest pick is Elise Mertens -4, a LEAN-confidence call.
By Isabella Rossi · Published Sep 24, 12:00 AM UTC · Updated Sep 25, 3:55 PM UTC
Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers
Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez
Fri Sep 25, 3:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Leylah Fernandez +4.5 (they can lose by up to 4 games and the bet still wins)-108
LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers
Mirra Andreeva has been playing well lately, but Leylah Fernandez is just as strong and has a good chance in this matchup.
Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska
Fri Sep 25, 4:00 AM UTC
Top pick: Elise Mertens -4 (they must win by 5 or more games; win by exactly 4 games and your stake comes back)+108
LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers
Elise Mertens has been playing well lately, showing her strong skills on the court.
Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson
Fri Sep 25, 12:00 PM UTC
Our pick: Talia Gibson +3 (they can lose by up to 2 games and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 3 games and your stake comes back)+113
LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers
Talia Gibson needs to keep the match close against Maria Sakkari for this bet to work.
How we pick these games
Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.
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