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ATP tennis predictions for Saturday, October 3: the model backs Ugo Humbert

9 ATP tennis matches on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Ugo Humbert +2.5, a HIGH-confidence call.

By Isabella Rossi · Published Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC · Updated Oct 3, 11:49 PM UTC

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Saturday, October 3. See today's ATP tennis predictions

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi

Sat Oct 3, 2:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Over 18.5 games-112

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Full Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi preview →

Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo

Sat Oct 3, 2:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Denis Shapovalov -2.5 (they must win by 3 or more games)+111

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Denis Shapovalov is playing at home against Alejandro Tabilo, and he has a decent chance to win by at least three games.

Full Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo preview →

Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Sat Oct 3, 2:00 AM UTC
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at Matteo Berrettini · Total Games Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo preview →

Ugo Humbert vs Jiri Lehecka

Sat Oct 3, 2:00 AM UTC
Top pick: Ugo Humbert +2.5 (they can lose by up to 2 games and the bet still wins)-104

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Ugo Humbert has been playing well lately, showing some solid form on the court.

Full Ugo Humbert vs Jiri Lehecka preview →

Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys

Sat Oct 3, 3:00 AM UTC
Quentin Halys at Alex de Minaur · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys preview →

Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang

Sat Oct 3, 3:00 AM UTC
Juncheng Shang at Alexander Zverev · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang preview →

Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin

Sat Oct 3, 3:00 AM UTC
Roman Safiullin at Andrey Rublev · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin preview →

Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik

Sat Oct 3, 3:00 AM UTC
Jakub Mensik at Francisco Cerundolo · Total Games Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik preview →

Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Sat Oct 3, 9:00 AM UTC
Jan-Lennard Struff at Daniil Medvedev · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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