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Ligue 1

Ligue 1 predictions for Sunday, October 18: the model leans Marseille

5 Ligue 1 matches on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Marseille -0.75, a LEAN-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Angers vs Marseille

Sun Oct 18, 2:00 PM UK
Top pick: Marseille -0.75 (a split line: some results give back part of your stake)+110

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Angers prepare to host Marseille, the pressure is on the home side, who have struggled against their visitors recently, losing three of the last five encounters.

Le Havre vs Auxerre

Sun Oct 18, 4:15 PM UK
Our pick: Auxerre 0 (they must win; if it ends level your stake comes back)+115

LEAN — about a 4 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Le Havre prepares to face Auxerre, the narrative is ripe for an away upset.

Lorient vs AS Monaco

Sun Oct 18, 4:15 PM UK
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals-102

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Lorient prepares to host AS Monaco, the stage is set for a thrilling encounter that leans heavily towards goals.

Paris FC vs Rennes

Sun Oct 18, 4:15 PM UK
Rennes at Paris FC · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Lyon vs Nice

Sun Oct 18, 7:45 PM UK
Nice at Lyon · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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