On Friday 28 August 2026, Phoenix Mercury play Washington Mystics in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 168 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 168 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The odds for this game suggest a total points bet of over 168, which feels like a solid choice. Both teams have been scoring pretty well lately, with the Washington Mystics winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Phoenix Mercury, while not as hot, still manage to find ways to put up points. Our numbers think the combined score could be around 171, so there's a good chance to see some fireworks. One thing to watch is that the Mercury give up a lot of rebounds, averaging 35.6 per game. This could lead to extra scoring opportunities for the Mystics. The matchup is close, but with both teams scoring well right now, there's a decent shot at hitting that over. Just remember, it's not a guarantee, but it's looking promising! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kiki Iriafen Over 11.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Kiki Iriafen has been a mixed bag lately, with her rebounds and assists numbers bouncing around quite a bit. The good news is that the Phoenix Mercury give up quite a few rebounds each game, which could help Kiki rack up her stats. Plus, the Mystics have been winning games, so Kiki might need to step up and contribute more. However, there's a chance she could struggle to get involved. Overall, this bet feels like a good shot, but it's definitely not a sure thing. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shakira Austin Over 18.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Shakira Austin has been on a scoring roll lately, with her points, rebounds, and assists flying between 23 and 42 in her last ten games. The Phoenix Mercury have struggled to contain opponents, allowing a lot of rebounds and three-point attempts, which could help her find more scoring opportunities. The Mystics are also in good form, winning 7 of their last 10 games, making this matchup pretty close. The biggest risk here is that Austin's scoring can fluctuate, so keep that in mind. Overall, there's a good chance she'll hit over 18.5 points in this game. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sonia Citron Under 16.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Sonia Citron's points line is set under 16.5, and it looks like a solid bet. The numbers show she has been pretty inconsistent lately, with her points running anywhere from 0 to 16 in her last ten games. Plus, the Phoenix Mercury have been allowing a lot of threes, but that might not help Citron, as she's not always the go-to scorer. On top of that, the Washington Mystics are rolling, winning 7 of their last 10 games. With Phoenix giving up more rebounds than average, they might struggle to get extra possessions. The biggest risk here is how close her scoring has been, so while this pick has potential, it's not a sure thing. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Phoenix Mercury v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article