On Friday 28 August 2026, New York Liberty play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries +1 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Golden State Valkyries +1 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The New York Liberty have been strong at home, but the Golden State Valkyries have been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They allow a lot of three-point attempts, which could help New York if they get hot from the outside. The Valkyries also give up a decent number of rebounds, but that hasn't stopped them from staying competitive. With a good chance of keeping this game close, I like the Valkyries to cover the point spread. Just remember, the Liberty's home advantage could play a big role here. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 162 Total Points (-115)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Both the New York Liberty and Golden State Valkyries have shown they can score a lot lately, with Golden State winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries do allow opponents to shoot plenty of three-pointers, which can really boost the points. Also, they give up a decent number of rebounds, meaning there could be more scoring chances. It's a close matchup, but I think the total points will go over 162. Just know that both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, which could mean a tighter game than expected. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Golden State Valkyries to Win (+122)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

The New York Liberty have a solid home advantage, but the Golden State Valkyries are on a good run, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries have been letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, which could be a problem against the Liberty's scoring ability. However, Golden State has shown they can fight back, especially with their recent form giving them a fighting chance in this matchup. Betting on the Valkyries to win feels like a smart choice right now. They are pretty close to the Liberty in overall performance, and the odds are favorable at +102. The biggest risk is that Golden State has been giving up a few more rebounds than usual, which could give New York extra chances to score. Still, I think the Valkyries have what it takes to pull off the win here. It was priced at +122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 25.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Jonquel Jones has been a solid player, but the New York Liberty's scoring has been a bit shaky lately. The Golden State Valkyries have been winning a lot, taking 7 of their last 10 games. However, they do allow their opponents to shoot a lot of three-pointers and grab rebounds, which means they can sometimes be vulnerable. For this game, I think Jonquel will finish with fewer than 25.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined. The Valkyries give up quite a few rebounds and assists, but that also means there's a chance for the Liberty to spread the ball around. The most concrete risk is how closely matched these two teams can be, which might push Jones to play a supporting role. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 7.5 Rebounds (+108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Breanna Stewart has been having a solid season, but she's been averaging less than 7.5 rebounds in recent games. The Golden State Valkyries tend to allow fewer rebounds than most teams, giving up around 33 a game. This could make it tough for her to hit that number against them. The Valkyries also allow a lot of three-point attempts, which might lead to longer rebounds that could be harder to gather. Plus, with Stewart's recent performance, there's a decent chance she doesn't reach that 7.5 mark tonight. Just keep in mind that this matchup can be close, and any player can have an off night. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sabrina Ionescu Over 16.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

For Sabrina Ionescu to score over 16.5 points tonight, she needs to have a solid game against the Golden State Valkyries. The Valkyries have been a bit generous, allowing players to shoot well, especially from long range. They give up a lot of three-point attempts, which could help Sabrina find her rhythm. Plus, she's been on a roll, and the team has been winning most of their recent games. However, it's important to note that the matchup is quite close, and the game could go either way. Ionescu will need to stay aggressive and find good shots early, as the Valkyries do allow opponents to grab a decent number of rebounds. If she can get going, she has a great chance to hit that mark tonight. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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