Here are the 6 NRL player props our model likes most for September 16, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
On Sunday 20 September 2026,
New Zealand Warriors host
Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Harrison Graham Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Harrison Graham scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $120 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 19 September 2026,
Sydney Roosters host
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Oregon Kaufusi Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Oregon Kaufusi scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 20 September 2026, New Zealand Warriors host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Samuel Healey Last Try Scorer. This wins if Samuel Healey scores the very last try of the game. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 19 September 2026, Sydney Roosters host Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Kayal Iro Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Kayal Iro scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +9000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $910 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Kayal Iro has scored a try in each of his last 4 games. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 19 September 2026, Sydney Roosters host Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Addin Fonua-Blake Last Try Scorer. This wins if Addin Fonua-Blake scores the very last try of the game. It was priced at +6600 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $670 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 20 September 2026, New Zealand Warriors host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Harrison Graham First Try Scorer. This wins if Harrison Graham scores the very first try of the game. It was priced at +10000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1010 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.