NRL player props today: our 3 best picks (September 14, 2026)

Here are the 3 NRL player props our model likes most for September 14, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.

On Sunday 20 September 2026, New Zealand Warriors host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Greg Marzhew Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Greg Marzhew scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +440 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $54 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 20 September 2026, New Zealand Warriors host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is James Fisher-Harris Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if James Fisher-Harris scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1050 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $115 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 20 September 2026, New Zealand Warriors host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Harrison Graham First Try Scorer. This wins if Harrison Graham scores the very first try of the game. It was priced at +9000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $910 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.