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Model picks & player props
Pittsburgh Penguins
VS
Seattle Kraken

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Seattle Kraken Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:18AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Indoor
Mon 19 Jan 2026, 10:00PM
3
Game Picks
1
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Pittsburgh Penguins (Moneyline)
For Pittsburgh Penguins vs Seattle Kraken (NHL), model win probability 72.6%, fair odds 1.38, book price -130, model edge +16.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Mon 19 Jan 2026, 10:00PM at Climate Pledge Arena.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Penguins
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Pittsburgh PenguinsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle KrakenPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Penguins

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Seattle Kraken

  • Jared McCann LWOut
  • Joey Daccord GOut
Availability updated Apr 17, 8:11PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Penguins vs Seattle Kraken: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Jared McCann and Joey Daccord.
FactorThis fixture
Availability2 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Evgeni Malkin Pittsburgh Penguins Shots on Goal 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Pittsburgh PenguinsNo line posted

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Seattle Kraken moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePittsburgh Penguins -1.5No line posted

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Seattle Kraken puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Seattle Kraken total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Seattle Kraken — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Seattle Kraken vs Pittsburgh Penguins. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, NHL parlay odds, hockey parlay.</p>

Seattle Kraken vs Pittsburgh Penguins : Under 10.5 Total Goals (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The under 10.5 bet is favored due to both teams' recent low-scoring performances. The Seattle Kraken's last 5 games have seen an average of just 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 goals against at home, contributing to low-scoring games. Similarly, the Pittsburgh Penguins' recent away games have also seen relatively low scores, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded. Additionally, both teams have been defensively solid, with the Kraken allowing an average of 30.4 shots against and the Penguins allowing 21.8. The model prediction of 1.29 also suggests a low-scoring game. Considering these factors, it is statistically unlikely that the total goals in the game will exceed 10.5, making the under 10.5 bet a reasonable choice.

Seattle Kraken vs Pittsburgh Penguins : Seattle Kraken +4.5 (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Seattle Kraken with a 4.5 point spread is primarily driven by their past performance against the Pittsburgh Penguins, reflected in their 4-1 record in the last five meetings. Even though the Kraken have struggled at home recently (0-5 in their last five home games), they have managed an overall record of 3-2 in the last five games, indicating some level of potential. The fact that the Kraken's model prediction is very close to zero (-0.05) suggests that this game could be very tight. Furthermore, their lower average of goals against (2.2) compared to the Penguins' (2.6) in the last five games offers some defensive assurance. Ultimately, the bet is banking on the Kraken's ability to outperform their recent home form and replicate their specific success against the Penguins.

Evgeni Malkin (Pittsburgh Penguins) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-189)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Evgeni Malkin for Over 1.5 in the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is primarily based on his recent performance in away games. Malkin's average shots on goal in the last five away games is 3.4, significantly higher than the line of 1.5 set by the bookmaker. This indicates a consistent trend of outperforming the expectations set by the line. Furthermore, Malkin's hit rate in the last four away games is perfect at 4/4. The model prediction of 2.99, which is almost double the line, also supports the bet. However, his overall performance is slightly lower with 2 shots average per game and a hit streak of 0. Despite this, his strong performance in away games makes the over 1.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Seattle Kraken in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Monday 19 January 2026 at Climate Pledge Arena. The model has generated 3 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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