On Wednesday 21 October 2026, Newcastle United play Everton in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Newcastle United Draw No Bet, priced at -152 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Newcastle gears up to face Everton, there's a palpable sense of urgency in St. James' Park. Despite their recent home form being a mixed bag with just one win in five, the Magpies have shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 1.8 goals per game at home. Meanwhile, Everton’s away struggles continue, highlighted by a dismal record where they’ve failed to secure a single victory in five attempts on the road. When you look at the expected goals (xG), Newcastle's attacking potential seems promising, even if recent results don’t fully reflect it. Their shots per game suggest they’re creating chances, while Everton, with a modest scoring average of one goal away, might find it tough to keep pace. With the home advantage and a recent head-to-head history that leans slightly towards Newcastle, backing them in the Draw No Bet market presents a compelling opportunity for shrewd bettors.
That is how our model reads Newcastle United v Everton. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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