On Saturday 24 October 2026, Newcastle United play Everton in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Both Teams To Score: No, priced at +135 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Newcastle United prepares to host Everton, the numbers hint at a low-scoring affair. Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net in recent weeks, with Newcastle averaging just 1.2 goals per game in their last five outings, while Everton has been slightly better at 1 goal. Their defensive efforts have been commendable too; Newcastle has conceded an alarming average of 2.4 goals per game lately, but Everton's away form, yielding just 1 goal across five matches, signals a real struggle to convert chances. With Newcastle's home xG stats showing underwhelming performance and Everton's away woes mirrored in their lack of creativity, it seems unlikely both will find the back of the net. Couple this with their recent head-to-head record and the odds favoring a 'No' on both teams to score. This clash feels set for a gritty, defensive showdown, rather than a goal-fest.
Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United Moneyline (+120)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Newcastle United prepares to host Everton, the dynamics of their recent form set the stage for an intriguing clash. Despite a mixed home record, Newcastle's scoring average of 1.8 goals at St. James' Park hints at their attacking potential. They've faced struggles lately, but with a tendency to create around 12.8 shots per game at home, they look poised to break through Everton's defenses. Everton, on the other hand, has stumbled on the road with just one win in their last five away matches, and their lack of consistency in scoring-averaging just one goal and conceding 1.2-adds to their woes. With both teams showing similar xG numbers recently, Newcastle's home advantage and their ability to generate chances suggest they could edge this one out. Backing the Magpies to clinch the victory feels like the smart move here.
That is how our model reads Newcastle United v Everton. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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