On Friday 23 October 2026, Newcastle United play Everton in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Newcastle United +0 Goal Handicap, priced at -169 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Newcastle United prepares to face Everton, the signs are increasingly favorable for the home side. Despite their recent struggles, their home performances have shown glimpses of potential. Averaging 1.8 goals at home, with a solid shot count of 12.8, they’ve managed to create decent chances, even if the finishing hasn’t always been clinical. Their opponents, Everton, are floundering, especially on the road with just one win in their last five away games and a meager scoring rate of 1 goal per match. The Toffees’ defense has been shaky, conceding an average of 1.2 goals away, which could play right into Newcastle’s hands.
Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United Moneyline (+120)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Newcastle prepares to host Everton, the momentum seems to tilt in the Magpies' favor. Despite a mixed home record recently, they’ve shown a remarkable resilience at St. James’ Park, averaging nearly 1.8 goals at home while limiting opponents to 1.4. Their ability to generate chances, with over 12 shots per game at home, is a promising sign—especially when considering Everton's struggles on the road, where they’ve only managed one goal in their last five away matches. Newcastle’s previous encounters against Everton have been competitive, but the home advantage can’t be overlooked. Everton’s dismal away form, with four straight losses, adds further weight to Newcastle’s case. Given these trends and their pressing style, the Magpies are poised to secure a vital three points, making them a compelling pick for the win here.
That is how our model reads Newcastle United v Everton. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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