On Friday 28 August 2026, New York Liberty play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Liberty have been tough at home, but Golden State Valkyries are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They tend to give up a lot of three-point shots, allowing teams to shoot more than most others in the league. This could let the Liberty find easy scoring opportunities if they get hot from deep. The Valkyries are only a tiny underdog with a good chance to cover the spread of 1.5 points. They also have a bit of an advantage in rest and travel, which might help their performance. However, it's worth noting that New York has home-court advantage, making this a close matchup. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Golden State Valkyries to Win (+102)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The New York Liberty have a solid home advantage, but the Golden State Valkyries are on a good run, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries have been letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, which could be a problem against the Liberty's scoring ability. However, Golden State has shown they can fight back, especially with their recent form giving them a fighting chance in this matchup. Betting on the Valkyries to win feels like a smart choice right now. They are pretty close to the Liberty in overall performance, and the odds are favorable at +102. The biggest risk is that Golden State has been giving up a few more rebounds than usual, which could give New York extra chances to score. Still, I think the Valkyries have what it takes to pull off the win here. It was priced at +102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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